All Outputs (22)

The World Isn’t Fair, but Shouldn’t Elections Be? Evaluating Prospective Beliefs about the Fairness of Elections and Referenda (2022)
Journal Article

Almost all academic literature about the causes and consequences of fairness of elections and referenda is based on retrospective evaluations. One of the strongest findings of such studies is that nonvoting is higher among citizens who retrospectivel... Read More about The World Isn’t Fair, but Shouldn’t Elections Be? Evaluating Prospective Beliefs about the Fairness of Elections and Referenda.

Fernando Casal Bértoa and Zsolt Enyedi, Party System Closure: Party Alliances, Government Alternatives, and Democracy in Europe (2021)
Journal Article

Consequences of context : how the social, political, and economic environment affects voting (2021)
Book

This book presents the most extensive study to date of how context influences citizens’ electoral behaviour. Context consists of aspects of the political, economic and social domains, and citizens’ electoral behaviour involves their participation in... Read More about Consequences of context : how the social, political, and economic environment affects voting.

Consequences of Context: What Did We Learn? (2021)
Book Chapter

Ideological Structuring (2021)
Book Chapter

The Point of Departure: Microlevel Models of Electoral Behaviour (2021)
Book Chapter

Harmonising Data, Analytical Approaches and Analysis Issues (2021)
Book Chapter

Comparing Individual Behaviour across Contexts: The Core Research Question (2021)
Book Chapter

Consequences of Context: How the Social, Political and Economic Environment Affects Voting - Online Appendix, Version 1.0 (2021)
Other

Online appendix with the book 'Consequences of Context - How the Social, Political and Economic Environment Affects Voting'. Contains additional findings, graphs, tables, analysis/replication syntaxes and scripts in Stata and R, contextual-informatio... Read More about Consequences of Context: How the Social, Political and Economic Environment Affects Voting - Online Appendix, Version 1.0.

De kern van de politiek (2020)
Book

Winner–loser effects in contentious constitutional referenda: Perceptions of procedural fairness and the Brexit referendum (2020)
Journal Article

This paper addresses a critical gap in the literature on winner-loser effects that consists of the lack of attention for highly contentious constitutional referenda. It uses unique multi-wave panel data of over 13,000 people that is unrivalled in siz... Read More about Winner–loser effects in contentious constitutional referenda: Perceptions of procedural fairness and the Brexit referendum.

Electoral Shocks: The Volatile Voter in a Turbulent World (2019)
Book

'Electoral Shocks' offers a novel perspective on British elections, focusing on the role of electoral shocks in the context of increasing electoral volatility. It demonstrates and explains the long-term trend in volatility, how shocks have contribute... Read More about Electoral Shocks: The Volatile Voter in a Turbulent World.

Unintended consequences of negative campaigning: Backlash and second-preference boost effects in a multi-party context (2019)
Journal Article

This study examines effects of negative campaigning by political parties on citizens’ electoral preferences in the 2015 General Election in England. We do so by using a large Internet panel study and an operationalisation of (perceived) negative camp... Read More about Unintended consequences of negative campaigning: Backlash and second-preference boost effects in a multi-party context.

Measures of campaign negativity: comparing approaches and eliminating partisan bias (2019)
Journal Article

We compare measures of the tone of parties’ campaigns in the 2015 General Election in England, based on, respectively, coverage of parties’ campaigns in six national newspapers, citizens’ perceptions, and expert judgments. It is the most extensive st... Read More about Measures of campaign negativity: comparing approaches and eliminating partisan bias.

The Essence of Politics (2018)
Book

This book discusses the nature of politics and 'the political'. It does so by contrasting and comparing contested definitions and descriptions, leading to a focus on processes of characterised by both conflict and cooperation. These processes can be... Read More about The Essence of Politics.

Public Opinion with Respect to MPs’ Outside Interests: Insights from the British Election Study (2017)
Report

How generational replacement undermined the electoral resilience of Fianna Fáil (2017)
Book Chapter

This chapter focuses on party switching. The civil-war cleavage that differentiated the two main Irish parties, Fianna Fáil and Fine Gael, has been gradually diminishing in importance in recent decades. This trend reached a crescendo in 2011, when th... Read More about How generational replacement undermined the electoral resilience of Fianna Fáil.

Risky business: factor analysis of survey data – assessing the probability of incorrect dimensionalisation (2015)
Journal Article

This paper undertakes a systematic assessment of the extent to which factor analysis the correct number of latent dimensions (factors) when applied to ordered categorical survey items (so-called Likert items). We simulate 2400 data sets of uni-dimens... Read More about Risky business: factor analysis of survey data – assessing the probability of incorrect dimensionalisation.

Don’t expect me to vote for you just because I like you, even if you do make me feel warm inside: a comparison of the validity of non-ipsative measures of party support
Conference Proceeding

The inclusion of non-ipsative measures of party preference (in essence ratings for each of the parties of a political system) has become established practice in mass surveys conducted for election studies. They exist in different forms, known as the... Read More about Don’t expect me to vote for you just because I like you, even if you do make me feel warm inside: a comparison of the validity of non-ipsative measures of party support.

Comparing non-ipsative measures of party support
Conference Proceeding

Non-ipsative measures of party preference (preference ratings for each of the parties of a political system) have become common in election studies. They exist in different forms, such as thermometer ratings or feeling scores, likes and dislikes scor... Read More about Comparing non-ipsative measures of party support.