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Abstinence and relapse among smokers who use varenicline in a quit attempt-a pooled analysis of randomized controlled trials: Relapse and abstinence in smokers treated with varenicline

Agboola, Shade A.; Coleman, Tim; McNeill, Ann; Leonardi-Bee, Jo

Authors

Shade A. Agboola

TIM COLEMAN tim.coleman@nottingham.ac.uk
Professor of Primary Care

Ann McNeill

JO LEONARDI-BEE jo.leonardi-bee@nottingham.ac.uk
Professor of Evidence Synthesis



Abstract

Background and aims Varenicline increases the likelihood of long-term abstinence following a quit attempt. It has been suggested that 1) part of its benefit arises from ‘recruiting into abstinence’ smokers who are not able to stop on the target quit date and 2) there may be a higher rate of relapse after treatment. This study addressed these issues. Methods Meta-analyses of data from randomized controlled trials (RCTs) of varenicline identified from the 2012 Cochrane review of nicotine receptor partial agonists for smoking cessation were used to compare the abstinence and relapse patterns on active drug and placebo. Studies of varenicline compared with placebo in adult daily smokers with longest follow-up at either six or 12 months and with at least three follow-ups in the first month were included. Biochemically verified abstinence rates at each of six follow-up time points (2, 3, 4, 12, 24 and 52 weeks) were pooled for studies reporting point prevalence abstinence. Biochemically verified abstinence rates at three follow-up time periods (nine to 12 weeks, nine to 24 weeks, and nine to 52 weeks) were pooled for studies reporting continuous abstinence. Random effects meta-analysis was used to estimate pooled proportions with 95% confidence intervals. Results Nineteen RCTs were included. In varenicline-treated participants, point-prevalence abstinence increased by 22 percentage points from week 2 (32%: 95% CI 25% - 40%) to week 12 (54%: 95% CI 48% - 61%). The increase was 8 percentage points in the placebo group: 16% (95% CI 11% - 21%) to 24% (95% CI 17% – 33%). In varenicline-treated participants the relapse from weeks 9-12 to week 52 was 55%: 49% abstinent in weeks 9 to 12 (95% CI 45%-53%) versus 22% at week 52 (95% CI 19% -25%). In placebo-treated participants it was 53%: 17% (95% CI 13% - 25%) in weeks 9-12 versus 8% (95% 6% to 12%) at week 52. Conclusions Varenicline recruits smokers into abstinence following the target quit date to a greater extent than placebo. Relapse rates from end of treatment to 52 weeks are similar in varenicline and placebo treated smokers. This article is protected by copyright. All rights reserved.

Journal Article Type Article
Acceptance Date Mar 31, 2015
Online Publication Date Apr 6, 2015
Publication Date 2015-07
Deposit Date Aug 21, 2018
Journal Addiction
Print ISSN 0965-2140
Electronic ISSN 1360-0443
Publisher Wiley
Peer Reviewed Peer Reviewed
Volume 110
Issue 7
Pages 1182-1193
DOI https://doi.org/10.1111/add.12941
Public URL https://nottingham-repository.worktribe.com/output/1106489
Publisher URL https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/full/10.1111/add.12941
PMID 00035680