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Human impact parameterizations in global hydrological models improve estimates of monthly discharges and hydrological extremes: A multi-model validation study (2018)
Journal Article
Veldkamp, T. I. E., Zhao, F., Ward, P. J., Moel, H. D., Aerts, J. C., Müller Schmied, H., …Wada, Y. (2018). Human impact parameterizations in global hydrological models improve estimates of monthly discharges and hydrological extremes: A multi-model validation study. Environmental Research Letters, 13(5), Article 055008. https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/aab96f

© 2018 IOP Publishing Ltd. Human activity has a profound influence on river discharges, hydrological extremes and water-related hazards. In this study, we compare the results of five state-of-the-art global hydrological models (GHMs) with observation... Read More about Human impact parameterizations in global hydrological models improve estimates of monthly discharges and hydrological extremes: A multi-model validation study.

A systems framework for national assessment of climate risks to infrastructure (2018)
Journal Article
Thompson, D., Johnson, D., Wood, R., Darch, G., Chapman, L., Hughes, P., …Hall, J. (2018). A systems framework for national assessment of climate risks to infrastructure. Philosophical Transactions A: Mathematical, Physical and Engineering Sciences, 376(2121), https://doi.org/10.1098/rsta.2017.0298

Extreme weather causes substantial adverse socio-economic impacts by damaging and disrupting the infrastructure services that underpin modern society. Globally, $2.5tn a year is spent on infrastructure which is typically designed to last decades, ove... Read More about A systems framework for national assessment of climate risks to infrastructure.

Sources of uncertainty in hydrological climate impact assessment: a cross-scale study (2018)
Journal Article
Hattermann, F., Vetter, T., Breuer, L., Su, B., Daggupati, P., Donnelly, C., …Krysanova, V. (2018). Sources of uncertainty in hydrological climate impact assessment: a cross-scale study. Environmental Research Letters, 13(1), Article 5006. https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/aa9938

Climate change impacts on water availability and hydrological extremes are major concerns as regards the Sustainable Development Goals. Impacts on hydrology are normally investigated as part of a modelling chain, in which climate projections from mul... Read More about Sources of uncertainty in hydrological climate impact assessment: a cross-scale study.

Assessing the impacts of 1.5 °C global warming–simulation protocol of the Inter-Sectoral Impact Model Intercomparison Project (ISIMIP2b) (2017)
Journal Article
Frieler, K., Lange, S., Piontek, F., Reyer, C. P., Schewe, J., Warszawski, L., …Yamagata, Y. (2017). Assessing the impacts of 1.5 °C global warming–simulation protocol of the Inter-Sectoral Impact Model Intercomparison Project (ISIMIP2b). Geoscientific Model Development, 10(12), https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-10-4321-2017

In Paris, France, December 2015, the Conference of the Parties (COP) to the United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change (UNFCCC) invited the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) to provide a "special report in 2018 on the impact... Read More about Assessing the impacts of 1.5 °C global warming–simulation protocol of the Inter-Sectoral Impact Model Intercomparison Project (ISIMIP2b).

Assessing the impacts of 1.5°C global warming -- simulation protocol of the Inter-Sectoral Impact Model Intercomparison Project (ISIMIP2b) (2017)
Journal Article
Frieler, K., Betts, R., Burke, E., Ciais, P., Denvil, S., Deryng, D., …Zhao, F. (2017). Assessing the impacts of 1.5°C global warming -- simulation protocol of the Inter-Sectoral Impact Model Intercomparison Project (ISIMIP2b). Geoscientific Model Development Discussions, 10(12), 4321-4345. https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-2016-229

In Paris, France, December 2015, the Conference of the Parties (COP) to the United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change (UNFCCC) invited the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) to provide a special report in 2018 on the impacts... Read More about Assessing the impacts of 1.5°C global warming -- simulation protocol of the Inter-Sectoral Impact Model Intercomparison Project (ISIMIP2b).

Adaptation to climate change: a comparative analysis of modelling methods for heat-related mortality (2017)
Journal Article
Gosling, S. N., Hondula, D. M., Bunker, A., Ibarreta, D., Liu, J., Zhang, X., & Sauerborn, R. (2017). Adaptation to climate change: a comparative analysis of modelling methods for heat-related mortality. Environmental Health Perspectives, 125(8), Article 087008. https://doi.org/10.1289/EHP634

Background: Multiple methods are employed for modelling adaptation when projecting the impact of climate change on heat-related mortality. The sensitivity of impacts to each is unknown because they have never been systematically compared. In addition... Read More about Adaptation to climate change: a comparative analysis of modelling methods for heat-related mortality.

The critical role of the routing scheme in simulating peak river discharge in global hydrological models (2017)
Journal Article
Zhao, F., Veldkamp, T. I., Frieler, K., Schewe, J., Ostberg, S., Willner, S., …Yamazaki, D. (2017). The critical role of the routing scheme in simulating peak river discharge in global hydrological models. Environmental Research Letters, 12(7), Article 075003. https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/aa7250

Global hydrological models (GHMs) have been applied to assess global flood hazards, but their capacity to capture the timing and amplitude of peak river discharge—which is crucial in flood simulations—has traditionally not been the focus of examinati... Read More about The critical role of the routing scheme in simulating peak river discharge in global hydrological models.

Water scarcity hotspots travel downstream due to human interventions in the 20th and 21st century (2017)
Journal Article
Veldkamp, T., Wada, Y., Aerts, J., Döll, P., Gosling, S. N., Liu, J., …Ward, P. J. (in press). Water scarcity hotspots travel downstream due to human interventions in the 20th and 21st century. Nature Communications, 8, Article 15697. https://doi.org/10.1038/ncomms15697

Water scarcity is rapidly increasing in many regions. In a novel, multi-model assessment, we examine how human interventions (HI: land use and land cover change, man-made reservoirs and human water use) affected monthly river water availability and w... Read More about Water scarcity hotspots travel downstream due to human interventions in the 20th and 21st century.

Intercomparison of global river discharge simulations focusing on dam operation: multiple models analysis in two case-study river basins, Missouri-Mississippi and Green-Colorado (2017)
Journal Article
Masaki, Y., Hanasaki, N., Biemans, H., Müller Schmied, H., Tang, Q., Wada, Y., …Hijioka, Y. (2017). Intercomparison of global river discharge simulations focusing on dam operation: multiple models analysis in two case-study river basins, Missouri-Mississippi and Green-Colorado. Environmental Research Letters, 12(5), Article 055002. https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/aa57a8

We performed a twofold intercomparison of river discharge regulated by dams under multiple meteorological forcings among multiple global hydrological models for a historical period by simulation. Paper II provides an intercomparison of river discharg... Read More about Intercomparison of global river discharge simulations focusing on dam operation: multiple models analysis in two case-study river basins, Missouri-Mississippi and Green-Colorado.

Water scarcity assessments in the past, present and future (2017)
Journal Article
Liu, J., Yang, H., Gosling, S. N., Kummu, M., Flörke, M., Pfister, S., …Oki, T. (2017). Water scarcity assessments in the past, present and future. Earth's Future, 5(6), 545-559. https://doi.org/10.1002/2016EF000518

Water scarcity has become a major constraint to socio-economic development and a threat to livelihood in increasing parts of the world. Since the late 1980s, water scarcity research has attracted much political and public attention. We here review a... Read More about Water scarcity assessments in the past, present and future.

Multimodel uncertainty changes in simulated river flows induced by human impact parameterizations (2017)
Journal Article
Liu, X., Tang, Q., Cui, H., Mu, M., Gerten, D., Gosling, S. N., …Wada, Y. (2017). Multimodel uncertainty changes in simulated river flows induced by human impact parameterizations. Environmental Research Letters, 12(2), Article 025009. https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/aa5a3a

Human impacts increasingly affect the global hydrological cycle and indeed dominate hydrological changes in some regions. Hydrologists have sought to identify the human-impact-induced hydrological variations via parameterizing anthropogenic water use... Read More about Multimodel uncertainty changes in simulated river flows induced by human impact parameterizations.

Cross‐scale intercomparison of climate change impacts simulated by regional and global hydrological models in eleven large river basins (2017)
Journal Article
Hattermann, F., Krysanova, V., Gosling, S. N., Dankers, R., Daggupati, P., Donnelly, C., …Samaniego, L. (2017). Cross‐scale intercomparison of climate change impacts simulated by regional and global hydrological models in eleven large river basins. Climatic Change, 141(3), 561-576. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10584-016-1829-4

Ideally, the results from models operating at different scales should agree in trend direction and magnitude of impacts under climate change. However, this implies that the sensitivity to climate variability and climate change is comparable for impac... Read More about Cross‐scale intercomparison of climate change impacts simulated by regional and global hydrological models in eleven large river basins.

Erratum to: A comparison of changes in river runoff from multiple global and catchment-scale hydrological models under global warming scenarios of 1 °C, 2 °C and 3 °C (Climatic Change, 10.1007/s10584-016-1773-3) (2016)
Journal Article
Gosling, S. N., Zaherpour, J., Mount, N. J., Hattermann, F. F., Dankers, R., Arheimer, B., …Zhang, X. (2017). Erratum to: A comparison of changes in river runoff from multiple global and catchment-scale hydrological models under global warming scenarios of 1 °C, 2 °C and 3 °C (Climatic Change, 10.1007/s10584-016-1773-3). Climatic Change, 141(3), 597-598. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10584-016-1855-2

In the initial online publication, a middle initial “J.” was added to the name of second author Jamal Zaherpour. This middle initial should not be there. The original publication has now been corrected as well.

Towards a comprehensive climate impacts assessment of solar geoengineering (2016)
Journal Article
Irvine, P. J., Kravitz, B., Lawrence, M. G., Gerten, D., Caminade, C., Gosling, S. N., …Smith, S. J. (2017). Towards a comprehensive climate impacts assessment of solar geoengineering. Earth's Future, 5(1), 93-106. https://doi.org/10.1002/2016EF000389

Despite a growing literature on the climate response to solar geoengineering – proposals to cool the planet by increasing the planetary albedo – there has been little published on the impacts of solar geoengineering on natural and human systems such... Read More about Towards a comprehensive climate impacts assessment of solar geoengineering.

A comparison of changes in river runoff from multiple global and catchment-scale hydrological models under global warming scenarios of 1°C, 2°C and 3°C (2016)
Journal Article
Gosling, S., Zaherpour, J., Mount, N. J., Hattermann, F., Dankers, R., Arheimer, B., …Zhang, X. (in press). A comparison of changes in river runoff from multiple global and catchment-scale hydrological models under global warming scenarios of 1°C, 2°C and 3°C. Climatic Change, https://doi.org/10.1007/s10584-016-1773-3

We present one of the first climate change impact assessments on river runoff that utilises an ensemble of global hydrological models (Glob-HMs) and an ensemble of catchment-scale hydrological models (Cat-HMs), across multiple catchments: the upper A... Read More about A comparison of changes in river runoff from multiple global and catchment-scale hydrological models under global warming scenarios of 1°C, 2°C and 3°C.

Perspectives on the Synoptic Climate Classification and its Role in Interdisciplinary Research (2016)
Journal Article
Dixon, P. G., Allen, M., Gosling, S. N., Hondula, D. M., Ingole, V., Lucas, R., & Vanos, J. K. (2016). Perspectives on the Synoptic Climate Classification and its Role in Interdisciplinary Research. Geography Compass, 10(4), 147-164. https://doi.org/10.1111/gec3.12264

© 2016 John Wiley & Sons Ltd. Synoptic climatology has a long history of research where weather data are aggregated and composited to gain a better understanding of atmospheric effects on non-atmospheric variables. This has resulted in an applied s... Read More about Perspectives on the Synoptic Climate Classification and its Role in Interdisciplinary Research.

Enhancing the spatial resolution of satellite-derived land surface temperature mapping for urban areas (2015)
Journal Article
Feng, X., Foody, G., Aplin, P., & Gosling, S. (2015). Enhancing the spatial resolution of satellite-derived land surface temperature mapping for urban areas. Sustainable Cities and Society, 19, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.scs.2015.04.007

Land surface temperature (LST) is an important environmental variable for urban studies such as those focused on the urban heat island (UHI). Though satellite-derived LST could be a useful complement to traditional LST data sources, the spatial resol... Read More about Enhancing the spatial resolution of satellite-derived land surface temperature mapping for urban areas.

A framework for the cross-sectoral integration of multi-model impact projections: land use decisions under climate impacts uncertainties (2015)
Journal Article
Frieler, K., Levermann, A., Elliott, J., Heinke, J., Arneth, A., Bierkens, M., …Schellnhuber, H. (2015). A framework for the cross-sectoral integration of multi-model impact projections: land use decisions under climate impacts uncertainties. Earth System Dynamics, 6(2), 447-460. https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-6-447-2015

Climate change and its impacts already pose considerable challenges for societies that will further increase with global warming (IPCC, 2014a, b). Uncertainties of the climatic response to greenhouse gas emissions include the potential passing of lar... Read More about A framework for the cross-sectoral integration of multi-model impact projections: land use decisions under climate impacts uncertainties.