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All Outputs (5)

Forecasting the outcome of closed-door decisions: evidence from 500 years of betting on papal conclaves (2015)
Journal Article

Closed-door decisions may be defined as decisions in which the outcome is determined by a limited number of decision-makers and where the process is shrouded in at least some secrecy. In this paper, we examine the use of betting markets to forecast o... Read More about Forecasting the outcome of closed-door decisions: evidence from 500 years of betting on papal conclaves.

The effects of leader succession and prior leader experience on postsuccession organizational performance (2015)
Journal Article

In this article we strive to reconcile equivocal findings about the effects of top leader succession and prior leadership experience on postsuccession organizational performance. In doing so, we draw on insights from theories of human capital, learni... Read More about The effects of leader succession and prior leader experience on postsuccession organizational performance.