Christopher J. Boyce
How do personality and social structures interact with each other to predict important life outcomes?: the importance of accounting for personality change
Boyce, Christopher J.; Wood, Alex M.; Delaney, Liam; Ferguson, Eamonn
Authors
Alex M. Wood
Liam Delaney
EAMONN FERGUSON eamonn.ferguson@nottingham.ac.uk
Professor of Health Psychology
Abstract
Personality is important for a range of life outcomes. However, despite evidence that personality changes across time, there is a concerning tendency for researchers outside of personality psychology to treat measures of personality as if they are non-changing when establishing whether personality predicts important life outcomes. This is problematic when personality changes in response to outcomes of interest and creates a methodological issue that may result in misleading conclusions. We illustrate this methodological issue and suggest using measures before the outcome takes place to mitigate concerns. We then demonstrate, using data from Germany that using post-event personality measures, as opposed to pre-outcome measures, to predict both occurrence of, and reactions to, socio-economic events results in inconsistent conclusions in the directions hypothesized and therefore increases the likelihood of Type 1 and Type 2 errors. This has implications for research investigating the importance of personality for psychological, behavioral, and socio-economic outcomes.
Citation
Boyce, C. J., Wood, A. M., Delaney, L., & Ferguson, E. (in press). How do personality and social structures interact with each other to predict important life outcomes?: the importance of accounting for personality change. European Journal of Personality, 31(3), https://doi.org/10.1002/per.2099
Journal Article Type | Article |
---|---|
Acceptance Date | Mar 13, 2017 |
Online Publication Date | Apr 27, 2017 |
Deposit Date | Mar 27, 2017 |
Publicly Available Date | Mar 29, 2024 |
Journal | European Journal of Personality |
Print ISSN | 0890-2070 |
Electronic ISSN | 1099-0984 |
Publisher | Wiley |
Peer Reviewed | Peer Reviewed |
Volume | 31 |
Issue | 3 |
DOI | https://doi.org/10.1002/per.2099 |
Keywords | Big Five personality; Regression methods; Socio-economic events; Development of personality |
Public URL | https://nottingham-repository.worktribe.com/output/857767 |
Publisher URL | http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/per.2099/full |
Additional Information | This is the peer reviewed version of the following article: Boyce, C. J., Wood, A. M., Delaney, L., and Ferguson, E. (2017) How do Personality and Social Structures Interact with Each Other to Predict Important Life Outcomes? The Importance of Accounting for Personality Change. Eur. J. Pers., doi: 10.1002/per.2099 which has been published in final form at http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/per.2099/full This article may be used for non-commercial purposes in accordance with Wiley Terms and Conditions for Self-Archiving. |
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