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All Outputs (404)

Ain’t No Fortunate Son: The Political Calculus of Conscription (2022)
Journal Article
Atkinson, D. B., & Fahey, K. (2022). Ain’t No Fortunate Son: The Political Calculus of Conscription. Political Research Quarterly, 76(3), 1151-1167. https://doi.org/10.1177/10659129221119753

Do the electoral incentives of political leaders influence who is compelled to serve in the military? We argue that conscription policy is designed by political actors who care about winning elections. In wartime, politicians face the twin threats of... Read More about Ain’t No Fortunate Son: The Political Calculus of Conscription.

Nuclear war as a predictable surprise (2022)
Journal Article
Rendall, M. (2022). Nuclear war as a predictable surprise. Global Policy, 13(5), 782-791. https://doi.org/10.1111/1758-5899.13142

Like asteroids, hundred-year floods and pandemic disease, thermonuclear war is a low-frequency, high-impact threat. In the long run, catastrophe is inevitable if nothing is done − yet each successive government and generation may fail to address it.... Read More about Nuclear war as a predictable surprise.

British “Black” Productions: Forgeries, Front Groups, and Propaganda, 1951–1977 (2022)
Journal Article
Cormac, R. (2022). British “Black” Productions: Forgeries, Front Groups, and Propaganda, 1951–1977. Journal of Cold War Studies, 24(3), 4-42. https://doi.org/10.1162/jcws_a_01087

Recently declassified files reveal a sustained black propaganda campaign conducted by the United Kingdom at the height of the Cold War. This article examines around 350 operations in which the UK spread propaganda through forgeries and notional group... Read More about British “Black” Productions: Forgeries, Front Groups, and Propaganda, 1951–1977.

Regime change and religious discrimination after the Arab uprisings (2022)
Journal Article
Klocek, J., Ha, H. J., & Sumaktoyo, N. G. (2023). Regime change and religious discrimination after the Arab uprisings. Journal of Peace Research, 60(3), 489-503. https://doi.org/10.1177/00223433221085894

This article investigates how and when regime transitions intensify minority discrimination through an analysis of two types of religious persecution following the Arab uprisings. We argue that weakened institutions and the prevalence of religious ou... Read More about Regime change and religious discrimination after the Arab uprisings.

Varieties of connections, varieties of corruption: Evidence from bureaucrats in five countries (2022)
Journal Article
Harris, A., Meyer-Sahling, J. H., Sass, K., Schuster, C., & Sigman, R. (2023). Varieties of connections, varieties of corruption: Evidence from bureaucrats in five countries. Governance, 36(3), 953-972. https://doi.org/10.1111/gove.12714

Why do some bureaucrats engage in corruption for personal gain, yet others for political gain? We show that these forms of corruption frequently do not coincide and offer an explanation: bureaucrats hired based on political and personal connections h... Read More about Varieties of connections, varieties of corruption: Evidence from bureaucrats in five countries.

Contemporary slavery in armed conflict: Introducing the CSAC dataset, 1989–2016 (2022)
Journal Article
Smith, A., Datta, M. N., & Bales, K. (2023). Contemporary slavery in armed conflict: Introducing the CSAC dataset, 1989–2016. Journal of Peace Research, 60(2), 362-372. https://doi.org/10.1177/00223433211065649

We introduce a new dataset, Contemporary Slavery in Armed Conflict (CSAC), coding instances and types of enslavement in armed conflict from 1989 to 2016, building on Uppsala Conflict Data Program data. CSAC currently covers 171 armed conflicts from 1... Read More about Contemporary slavery in armed conflict: Introducing the CSAC dataset, 1989–2016.

"I bought you. You are my wife": "Modern Slavery" and Forced Marriage (2022)
Journal Article
McCabe, H., & Eglen, L. (in press). "I bought you. You are my wife": "Modern Slavery" and Forced Marriage. Journal of Human Trafficking, https://doi.org/10.1080/23322705.2022.2096366

Forced marriage is identified as a serious global challenge and has recently been linked to modern slavery. In this article we seek to understand how slavery, institutions and practices similar to slavery, and other forms of exploitation are linked t... Read More about "I bought you. You are my wife": "Modern Slavery" and Forced Marriage.

Are Republicans and Conservatives More Likely to Believe Conspiracy Theories? (2022)
Journal Article
Enders, A., Farhart, C., Miller, J., Uscinski, J., Saunders, K., & Drochon, H. (2023). Are Republicans and Conservatives More Likely to Believe Conspiracy Theories?. Political Behavior, 45, 2001-2024. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11109-022-09812-3

A sizable literature tracing back to Richard Hofstadter’s The Paranoid Style (1964) argues that Republicans and conservatives are more likely to believe conspiracy theories than Democrats and liberals. However, the evidence for this proposition is mi... Read More about Are Republicans and Conservatives More Likely to Believe Conspiracy Theories?.

Have beliefs in conspiracy theories increased over time? (2022)
Journal Article
Uscinski, J., Enders, A., Klofstad, C., Seelig, M., Drochon, H., Premaratne, K., & Murthi, M. (2022). Have beliefs in conspiracy theories increased over time?. PLoS ONE, 17(7), Article e0270429. https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0270429

The public is convinced that beliefs in conspiracy theories are increasing, and many scholars, journalists, and policymakers agree. Given the associations between conspiracy theories and many non-normative tendencies, lawmakers have called for polici... Read More about Have beliefs in conspiracy theories increased over time?.

Hybrid warfare: The continuation of ambiguity by other means (2022)
Journal Article
Mumford, A., & Carlucci, P. (2023). Hybrid warfare: The continuation of ambiguity by other means. European Journal of International Security, 8(2), 192-206. https://doi.org/10.1017/eis.2022.19

This article presents the study of ambiguity as the essence of hybrid warfare to reconcile it with the international political context. It addresses the gaps in the literature in an effort to elucidate the essence of hybrid warfare not as a separate... Read More about Hybrid warfare: The continuation of ambiguity by other means.

Winning votes: the comparative importance of money and time on parliamentary candidates’ electoral performance in Estonia (2022)
Journal Article
Trumm, S. (2022). Winning votes: the comparative importance of money and time on parliamentary candidates’ electoral performance in Estonia. East European Politics, 38(3), 427-445. https://doi.org/10.1080/21599165.2022.2086861

The literature on post-communist democracies has traditionally suggested that expensive media-based campaigns are key to electoral success. Using data from the 2011, 2015, and 2019 Estonian Candidate Study, this article provides an up-to-date evaluat... Read More about Winning votes: the comparative importance of money and time on parliamentary candidates’ electoral performance in Estonia.

The World Isn’t Fair, but Shouldn’t Elections Be? Evaluating Prospective Beliefs about the Fairness of Elections and Referenda (2022)
Journal Article
Rose, J., & van der Eijk, C. (2022). The World Isn’t Fair, but Shouldn’t Elections Be? Evaluating Prospective Beliefs about the Fairness of Elections and Referenda. Societies, 12(3), Article 85. https://doi.org/10.3390/soc12030085

Almost all academic literature about the causes and consequences of fairness of elections and referenda is based on retrospective evaluations. One of the strongest findings of such studies is that nonvoting is higher among citizens who retrospectivel... Read More about The World Isn’t Fair, but Shouldn’t Elections Be? Evaluating Prospective Beliefs about the Fairness of Elections and Referenda.

Public policy in multi-level systems: A new research agenda for the study of regional-level policy (2022)
Journal Article
Kleider, H., & Toubeau, S. (2022). Public policy in multi-level systems: A new research agenda for the study of regional-level policy. Regional and Federal Studies, 32(3), 277-305. https://doi.org/10.1080/13597566.2021.2018681

While there is a cumulative research programme on the causes of decentralization to regional and local governments, research on its policy consequences is less integrated. This article takes stock of the existing research on the policy consequences o... Read More about Public policy in multi-level systems: A new research agenda for the study of regional-level policy.

UK Defence Policy After Ukraine: Revisiting the Integrated Review (2022)
Journal Article
Magill, P., & Rees, W. (2022). UK Defence Policy After Ukraine: Revisiting the Integrated Review. Survival, 64(3), 87-102. https://doi.org/10.1080/00396338.2022.2078048

The 2021 Integrated Review of Security, Defence, Development and Foreign Policy signified a major change in United Kingdom’s defence thinking because it identified China as the foremost threat to its long-term security interests. The resulting tilt t... Read More about UK Defence Policy After Ukraine: Revisiting the Integrated Review.

Forced Marriage and Modern Slavery: Analysing Marriage as a “Choiceless Choice”. (2022)
Journal Article
McCabe, H., Baumeister, H., & Stickle, W. (2022). Forced Marriage and Modern Slavery: Analysing Marriage as a “Choiceless Choice”. Journal of Modern Slavery, 7(2), 33-57

Several international conventions, and domestic law in fifty-two countries, ban forced marriage, and Human Rights conventions insist that marriage should only be entered into with the “free and full consent” of both parties. Using rational choice the... Read More about Forced Marriage and Modern Slavery: Analysing Marriage as a “Choiceless Choice”..

Learning effects of anti-corruption reform in public organisations: explanations from social psychological theory (2022)
Journal Article
Lee, D. S., Meyer-Sahling, J., & Park, S. (2022). Learning effects of anti-corruption reform in public organisations: explanations from social psychological theory. Public Management Review, 1-22. https://doi.org/10.1080/14719037.2022.2051064

Existing studies based on institutional or rationalist approaches have limitations in explaining changes in individual ethical behaviour and thus propose social psychological models that can offer alternative explanations. We conduct surveys of over... Read More about Learning effects of anti-corruption reform in public organisations: explanations from social psychological theory.

China's "wolf warrior diplomacy:" The interaction of formal diplomacy and cyber-nationalism (2022)
Journal Article
Sullivan, J., & Wang, W. (2023). China's "wolf warrior diplomacy:" The interaction of formal diplomacy and cyber-nationalism. Journal of Current Chinese Affairs, 52(1), 68-88. https://doi.org/10.1177/18681026221079841

For all the popular interest in “wolf warrior diplomacy,” scant attention has been paid to the internal logics and mechanics of representative communications, notably the intersection with grassroots cyber-nationalism. Centring the connections betwee... Read More about China's "wolf warrior diplomacy:" The interaction of formal diplomacy and cyber-nationalism.

(Extreme) political polarization and party patronage (2022)
Journal Article
Kopecký, P., Meyer-Sahling, J., & Spirova, M. (2022). (Extreme) political polarization and party patronage. Irish Political Studies, 37(2), 218-243. https://doi.org/10.1080/07907184.2022.2045143

The contemporary literature on political parties has identified their gradual but consistent shift away from civil society and towards the state. As parties are becoming ever increasingly dependent on state resources and exclusively interested in gov... Read More about (Extreme) political polarization and party patronage.

The impact of social desirability bias on conspiracy belief measurement across cultures (2022)
Journal Article
Uscinski, J. E., Smallpage, S. M., Enders, A. M., & Drochon, H. (2022). The impact of social desirability bias on conspiracy belief measurement across cultures. Political Science Research and Methods, 11(3), 555-569. https://doi.org/10.1017/psrm.2022.1

Polls asking respondents about their beliefs in conspiracy theories have become increasingly commonplace. However, researchers have expressed concern about the willingness of respondents to divulge beliefs in conspiracy theories due to the stigmatiza... Read More about The impact of social desirability bias on conspiracy belief measurement across cultures.