All Outputs (89)

A global assessment of the effects of climate policy on the impacts of climate change (2013)
Journal Article

This study presents the first global-scale multi-sectoral regional assessment of the magnitude and uncertainty in the impacts of climate change avoided by emissions policies. The analysis suggests that the most stringent emissions policy considered h... Read More about A global assessment of the effects of climate policy on the impacts of climate change.

The likelihood and potential impact of future change in the large-scale climate-earth system on ecosystem services (2012)
Journal Article

This article reviews the level of current scientific understanding regarding the impact of future change in the large-scale climate-earth system on ecosystem services. Impacts from sea level rise, ocean acidification, increases in ocean temperature,... Read More about The likelihood and potential impact of future change in the large-scale climate-earth system on ecosystem services.

"Vulnerability hotspots": Integrating socio-economic and hydrological models to identify where cereal production may decline in the future due to climate change induced drought (2012)
Journal Article

The purpose of this paper is to identify which of the world's cereal producing regions are likely to become vulnerable to climate change over the 21st century by identifying those regions that will be (1) exposed to climatic stress and (2) have a lim... Read More about "Vulnerability hotspots": Integrating socio-economic and hydrological models to identify where cereal production may decline in the future due to climate change induced drought.

Multimodel estimate of the global terrestrial water balance: Setup and first results (2011)
Journal Article

Six land surface models and five global hydrological models participate in a model intercomparison project [WaterModel Intercomparison Project (WaterMIP)], which for the first time compares simulation results of these different classes of models in a... Read More about Multimodel estimate of the global terrestrial water balance: Setup and first results.

The benefits of quantifying climate model uncertainty in climate change impacts assessment: An example with heat-related mortality change estimates (2011)
Journal Article

The majority of climate change impacts assessments account for climate change uncertainty by adopting the scenario-based approach. This typically involves assessing the impacts for a small number of emissions scenarios but neglecting the role of clim... Read More about The benefits of quantifying climate model uncertainty in climate change impacts assessment: An example with heat-related mortality change estimates.

A review of recent developments in climate change science. Part II: The global-scale impacts of climate change (2011)
Journal Article

This article presents a review of recent developments in studies assessing the global-scale impacts of climate change published since the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) Fourth Assessment Report (AR4). Literature covering six main im... Read More about A review of recent developments in climate change science. Part II: The global-scale impacts of climate change.

A review of recent developments in climate change science. Part I: Understanding of future change in the large-scale climate system (2011)
Journal Article

This article reviews some of the major lines of recent scientific progress relevant to the choice of global climate policy targets, focusing on changes in understanding since publication of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change Fourth Assessm... Read More about A review of recent developments in climate change science. Part I: Understanding of future change in the large-scale climate system.

Simulating current global river runoff with a global hydrological model: Model revisions, validation, and sensitivity analysis (2011)
Journal Article

Global hydrological models (GHMs) model the land surface hydrologic dynamics of continental-scale river basins. Here we describe one such GHM, the Macro-scale-Probability-Distributed Moisture model.09 (Mac-PDM.09). The model has undergone a number of... Read More about Simulating current global river runoff with a global hydrological model: Model revisions, validation, and sensitivity analysis.

Associations between elevated atmospheric temperature and human mortality: A critical review of the literature (2008)
Journal Article

The effects of the anomalously warm European summer of 2003 highlighted the importance of understanding the relationship between elevated atmospheric temperature and human mortality. This review is an extension of the brief evidence examining this re... Read More about Associations between elevated atmospheric temperature and human mortality: A critical review of the literature.