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All Outputs (11)

Assessing the impacts of 1.5 °C global warming–simulation protocol of the Inter-Sectoral Impact Model Intercomparison Project (ISIMIP2b) (2017)
Journal Article
Frieler, K., Lange, S., Piontek, F., Reyer, C. P., Schewe, J., Warszawski, L., …Yamagata, Y. (2017). Assessing the impacts of 1.5 °C global warming–simulation protocol of the Inter-Sectoral Impact Model Intercomparison Project (ISIMIP2b). Geoscientific Model Development, 10(12), https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-10-4321-2017

In Paris, France, December 2015, the Conference of the Parties (COP) to the United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change (UNFCCC) invited the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) to provide a "special report in 2018 on the impact... Read More about Assessing the impacts of 1.5 °C global warming–simulation protocol of the Inter-Sectoral Impact Model Intercomparison Project (ISIMIP2b).

Assessing the impacts of 1.5°C global warming -- simulation protocol of the Inter-Sectoral Impact Model Intercomparison Project (ISIMIP2b) (2017)
Journal Article
Frieler, K., Betts, R., Burke, E., Ciais, P., Denvil, S., Deryng, D., …Zhao, F. (2017). Assessing the impacts of 1.5°C global warming -- simulation protocol of the Inter-Sectoral Impact Model Intercomparison Project (ISIMIP2b). Geoscientific Model Development Discussions, 10(12), 4321-4345. https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-2016-229

In Paris, France, December 2015, the Conference of the Parties (COP) to the United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change (UNFCCC) invited the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) to provide a special report in 2018 on the impacts... Read More about Assessing the impacts of 1.5°C global warming -- simulation protocol of the Inter-Sectoral Impact Model Intercomparison Project (ISIMIP2b).

Adaptation to climate change: a comparative analysis of modelling methods for heat-related mortality (2017)
Journal Article
Gosling, S. N., Hondula, D. M., Bunker, A., Ibarreta, D., Liu, J., Zhang, X., & Sauerborn, R. (2017). Adaptation to climate change: a comparative analysis of modelling methods for heat-related mortality. Environmental Health Perspectives, 125(8), Article 087008. https://doi.org/10.1289/EHP634

Background: Multiple methods are employed for modelling adaptation when projecting the impact of climate change on heat-related mortality. The sensitivity of impacts to each is unknown because they have never been systematically compared. In addition... Read More about Adaptation to climate change: a comparative analysis of modelling methods for heat-related mortality.

The critical role of the routing scheme in simulating peak river discharge in global hydrological models (2017)
Journal Article
Zhao, F., Veldkamp, T. I., Frieler, K., Schewe, J., Ostberg, S., Willner, S., …Yamazaki, D. (2017). The critical role of the routing scheme in simulating peak river discharge in global hydrological models. Environmental Research Letters, 12(7), Article 075003. https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/aa7250

Global hydrological models (GHMs) have been applied to assess global flood hazards, but their capacity to capture the timing and amplitude of peak river discharge—which is crucial in flood simulations—has traditionally not been the focus of examinati... Read More about The critical role of the routing scheme in simulating peak river discharge in global hydrological models.

Water scarcity hotspots travel downstream due to human interventions in the 20th and 21st century (2017)
Journal Article
Veldkamp, T., Wada, Y., Aerts, J., Döll, P., Gosling, S. N., Liu, J., …Ward, P. J. (in press). Water scarcity hotspots travel downstream due to human interventions in the 20th and 21st century. Nature Communications, 8, Article 15697. https://doi.org/10.1038/ncomms15697

Water scarcity is rapidly increasing in many regions. In a novel, multi-model assessment, we examine how human interventions (HI: land use and land cover change, man-made reservoirs and human water use) affected monthly river water availability and w... Read More about Water scarcity hotspots travel downstream due to human interventions in the 20th and 21st century.

Intercomparison of global river discharge simulations focusing on dam operation: multiple models analysis in two case-study river basins, Missouri-Mississippi and Green-Colorado (2017)
Journal Article
Masaki, Y., Hanasaki, N., Biemans, H., Müller Schmied, H., Tang, Q., Wada, Y., …Hijioka, Y. (2017). Intercomparison of global river discharge simulations focusing on dam operation: multiple models analysis in two case-study river basins, Missouri-Mississippi and Green-Colorado. Environmental Research Letters, 12(5), Article 055002. https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/aa57a8

We performed a twofold intercomparison of river discharge regulated by dams under multiple meteorological forcings among multiple global hydrological models for a historical period by simulation. Paper II provides an intercomparison of river discharg... Read More about Intercomparison of global river discharge simulations focusing on dam operation: multiple models analysis in two case-study river basins, Missouri-Mississippi and Green-Colorado.

Water scarcity assessments in the past, present and future (2017)
Journal Article
Liu, J., Yang, H., Gosling, S. N., Kummu, M., Flörke, M., Pfister, S., …Oki, T. (2017). Water scarcity assessments in the past, present and future. Earth's Future, 5(6), 545-559. https://doi.org/10.1002/2016EF000518

Water scarcity has become a major constraint to socio-economic development and a threat to livelihood in increasing parts of the world. Since the late 1980s, water
scarcity research has attracted much political and public attention. We here review a... Read More about Water scarcity assessments in the past, present and future.

Multimodel uncertainty changes in simulated river flows induced by human impact parameterizations (2017)
Journal Article
Liu, X., Tang, Q., Cui, H., Mu, M., Gerten, D., Gosling, S. N., …Wada, Y. (2017). Multimodel uncertainty changes in simulated river flows induced by human impact parameterizations. Environmental Research Letters, 12(2), Article 025009. https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/aa5a3a

Human impacts increasingly affect the global hydrological cycle and indeed dominate hydrological changes in some regions. Hydrologists have sought to identify the human-impact-induced hydrological variations via parameterizing anthropogenic water use... Read More about Multimodel uncertainty changes in simulated river flows induced by human impact parameterizations.

Cross‐scale intercomparison of climate change impacts simulated by regional and global hydrological models in eleven large river basins (2017)
Journal Article
Hattermann, F., Krysanova, V., Gosling, S. N., Dankers, R., Daggupati, P., Donnelly, C., …Samaniego, L. (2017). Cross‐scale intercomparison of climate change impacts simulated by regional and global hydrological models in eleven large river basins. Climatic Change, 141(3), 561-576. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10584-016-1829-4

Ideally, the results from models operating at different scales should agree in trend direction and magnitude of impacts under climate change. However, this implies that the sensitivity to climate variability and climate change is comparable for impac... Read More about Cross‐scale intercomparison of climate change impacts simulated by regional and global hydrological models in eleven large river basins.