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Optimising experimental designs for model selection of ion channel drug binding mechanisms (2024)
Preprint / Working Paper
Patten-Elliott, F., Lei, C. L., Preston, S. P., Wilkinson, R. D., & Mirams, G. R. Optimising experimental designs for model selection of ion channel drug binding mechanisms

The rapid delayed rectifier current carried by the human Ether-à-go-go-Related Gene (hERG) channel is susceptible to drug-induced reduction which can lead to an increased risk of cardiac arrhythmia. Establishing the mechanism by which a specific drug... Read More about Optimising experimental designs for model selection of ion channel drug binding mechanisms.

Evaluating the predictive accuracy of ion channel models using data from multiple experimental designs (2024)
Preprint / Working Paper
Shuttleworth, J. G., Lei, C. L., Windley, M. J., Hill, A. P., Preston, S. P., & Mirams, G. R. Evaluating the predictive accuracy of ion channel models using data from multiple experimental designs

Mathematical models are increasingly being relied upon to provide quantitatively accurate predictions of cardiac electrophysiology. Many such models concern the behaviour of particular subcellular components (namely, ion channels) which, together, al... Read More about Evaluating the predictive accuracy of ion channel models using data from multiple experimental designs.

Modelling the role of enzymatic pathways in the metabolism of docosahexaenoic acid by monocytes and its association with osteoarthritic pain (2024)
Journal Article
Franks, S. J., Gowler, P. R., Dunster, J. L., Turnbull, J., Gohir, S. A., Kelly, A., Valdes, A. M., King, J. R., Barrett, D. A., Chapman, V., & Preston, S. (2024). Modelling the role of enzymatic pathways in the metabolism of docosahexaenoic acid by monocytes and its association with osteoarthritic pain. Mathematical Biosciences, 374, Article 109228. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.mbs.2024.109228

Chronic pain is a major cause of disability and suffering in osteoarthritis (OA) patients. Endogenous specialised pro-resolving molecules (SPMs) curtail pro-inflammatory responses. One of the SPM intermediate oxylipins, 17-hydroxydocasahexaenoic acid... Read More about Modelling the role of enzymatic pathways in the metabolism of docosahexaenoic acid by monocytes and its association with osteoarthritic pain.

Empirical Quantification of Predictive Uncertainty Due to Model Discrepancy by Training with an Ensemble of Experimental Designs: An Application to Ion Channel Kinetics (2023)
Journal Article
Shuttleworth, J. G., Lei, C. L., Whittaker, D. G., Windley, M. J., Hill, A. P., Preston, S. P., & Mirams, G. R. (2024). Empirical Quantification of Predictive Uncertainty Due to Model Discrepancy by Training with an Ensemble of Experimental Designs: An Application to Ion Channel Kinetics. Bulletin of Mathematical Biology, 86(1), Article 2. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11538-023-01224-6

When using mathematical models to make quantitative predictions for clinical or industrial use, it is important that predictions come with a reliable estimate of their accuracy (uncertainty quantification). Because models of complex biological system... Read More about Empirical Quantification of Predictive Uncertainty Due to Model Discrepancy by Training with an Ensemble of Experimental Designs: An Application to Ion Channel Kinetics.

Using many different voltage protocols to characterise discrepancy in mathematical ion channel models (2023)
Journal Article
Shuttleworth, J. G., Lok Lei, C., Windley, M., Hill, A. P., Perry, M. D., Preston, S., & Mirams, G. R. (2023). Using many different voltage protocols to characterise discrepancy in mathematical ion channel models. Biophysical Journal, 122(3, Suppl. 1), 242a. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.bpj.2022.11.1415

The Kv11.1 protein encoded by the hERG gene forms the primary subunit of a voltage-sensitive ion channel responsible for IKr in cardiomyocytes. Mathematical models of the macroscopic current are fitted to data from patch-clamp experiments - in which... Read More about Using many different voltage protocols to characterise discrepancy in mathematical ion channel models.

Uncertainty and error in SARS-CoV-2 epidemiological parameters inferred from population-level epidemic models (2022)
Journal Article
Whittaker, D. G., Herrera-Reyes, A. D., Hendrix, M., Owen, M. R., Band, L. R., Mirams, G. R., Bolton, K. J., & Preston, S. P. (2023). Uncertainty and error in SARS-CoV-2 epidemiological parameters inferred from population-level epidemic models. Journal of Theoretical Biology, 558, Article 111337. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jtbi.2022.111337

During the SARS-CoV2 pandemic, epidemic models have been central to policy-making. Public health responses have been shaped by model-based projections and inferences, especially related to the impact of various non-pharmaceutical interventions. Accom... Read More about Uncertainty and error in SARS-CoV-2 epidemiological parameters inferred from population-level epidemic models.

Modelling reveals post-transcriptional regulation of GA metabolism enzymes in response to drought and cold (2022)
Journal Article
Band, L. R., Nelissen, H., Preston, S. P., Rymen, B., Prinsen, E., Abd Elgawad, H., & Beemster, G. T. S. (2022). Modelling reveals post-transcriptional regulation of GA metabolism enzymes in response to drought and cold. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, 119(31), Article e2121288119. https://doi.org/10.1073/pnas.2121288119

The hormone gibberellin (GA) controls plant growth and regulates growth responses to environmental stress. In monocotyledonous leaves, GA controls growth by regulating division-zone size. We used a systems approach to investigate the establishment of... Read More about Modelling reveals post-transcriptional regulation of GA metabolism enzymes in response to drought and cold.

Manifold valued data analysis of samples of networks, with applications in corpus linguistics (2022)
Journal Article
Severn, K. E., Dryden, I. L., & Preston, S. P. (2022). Manifold valued data analysis of samples of networks, with applications in corpus linguistics. Annals of Applied Statistics, 16(1), 368-390. https://doi.org/10.1214/21-aoas1480

Networks arise in many applications, such as in the analysis of text documents, social interactions and brain activity. We develop a general framework for extrinsic statistical analysis of samples of networks, motivated by networks representing text... Read More about Manifold valued data analysis of samples of networks, with applications in corpus linguistics.

The Bayesian Spatial Bradley–Terry model: Urban deprivation modelling in Tanzania (2022)
Journal Article
Seymour, R. G., Sirl, D., Preston, S. P., Dryden, I. L., Ellis, M. J., Perrat, B., & Goulding, J. (2022). The Bayesian Spatial Bradley–Terry model: Urban deprivation modelling in Tanzania. Journal of the Royal Statistical Society: Series C, 71(2), 288-308. https://doi.org/10.1111/rssc.12532

Identifying the most deprived regions of any country or city is key if policy makers are to design successful interventions. However, locating areas with the greatest need is often surprisingly challenging in developing countries. Due to the logistic... Read More about The Bayesian Spatial Bradley–Terry model: Urban deprivation modelling in Tanzania.

Gaussian process models of potential energy surfaces with boundary optimization (2021)
Journal Article
Broad, J., Preston, S., Wheatley, R. J., & Graham, R. S. (2021). Gaussian process models of potential energy surfaces with boundary optimization. Journal of Chemical Physics, 155(14), Article 144106. https://doi.org/10.1063/5.0063534

A strategy is outlined to reduce the number of training points required to model intermolecular potentials using Gaussian processes, without reducing accuracy. An asymptotic function is used at a long range, and the crossover distance between this mo... Read More about Gaussian process models of potential energy surfaces with boundary optimization.