Research Repository

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Current imaging practice for suspected scaphoid fracture in patients with normal initial radiographs: UK-wide national audit (2019)
Journal Article
Chunara, M., Mcleavy, C., Kesavanarayanan, V., Paton, D., & Ganguly, A. (2019). Current imaging practice for suspected scaphoid fracture in patients with normal initial radiographs: UK-wide national audit. Clinical Radiology, 74(6), 450-455. doi:10.1016/j.crad.2019.02.016

BACKGROUND: The prevalence of scaphoid fractures in the young and active patient population is high. Initial suspicion relies on the combination of a clinical examination and scaphoid series. Both of these are imperfect and often result in premature... Read More

The effect of spending cuts on teen pregnancy (2017)
Journal Article
Paton, D., & Wright, L. (2017). The effect of spending cuts on teen pregnancy. Journal of Health Economics, 54, doi:10.1016/j.jhealeco.2017.05.002

In recent years, English local authorities have been forced to make significant cuts to devolved expenditure. In this paper, we examine the impact of reductions in local expenditure on one particular public health target: reducing rates of teen pregn... Read More

Information asymmetries in the hiring process and the risk of new leader dismissal: insights from English premier league soccer organizations (2017)
Journal Article
Desai, M. N., Lockett, A., & Paton, D. (2018). Information asymmetries in the hiring process and the risk of new leader dismissal: insights from English premier league soccer organizations. British Journal of Management, 29(1), doi:10.1111/1467-8551.12210

Why are some new leaders dismissed quicker than others? Adopting agency theory logic we examine how different succession contexts shape boards’ information asymmetries about a potential candidate’s competencies in the hiring process, which influences... Read More

How does legalization of physician assisted suicide affect rates of suicide? (2015)
Journal Article
Jones, D. A., & Paton, D. (2015). How does legalization of physician assisted suicide affect rates of suicide?. Southern Medical Journal, 180(10), doi:10.14423/SMJ.0000000000000349

Objectives: Several US states have legalized or decriminalised physician assisted suicide (PAS) whilst others are currently considering permitting PAS. Although it has been suggested that legalization could plausibly lead to a reduction in total sui... Read More

Forecasting the outcome of closed-door decisions: evidence from 500 years of betting on papal conclaves (2015)
Journal Article
Vaughan Williams, L., & Paton, D. (2015). Forecasting the outcome of closed-door decisions: evidence from 500 years of betting on papal conclaves. Journal of Forecasting, 34(5), 391-404. doi:10.1002/for.2339

Closed-door decisions may be defined as decisions in which the outcome is determined by a limited number of decision-makers and where the process is shrouded in at least some secrecy. In this paper, we examine the use of betting markets to forecast o... Read More

The effects of leader succession and prior leader experience on postsuccession organizational performance (2015)
Journal Article
Desai, M. N., Lockett, A., & Paton, D. (2016). The effects of leader succession and prior leader experience on postsuccession organizational performance. Human Resource Management, 55(6), doi:10.1002/hrm.21700

In this article we strive to reconcile equivocal findings about the effects of top leader succession and prior leadership experience on postsuccession organizational performance. In doing so, we draw on insights from theories of human capital, learni... Read More

Is education the best contraception: the case of teenage pregnancy in England? (2015)
Journal Article
Girma, S., & Paton, D. (2015). Is education the best contraception: the case of teenage pregnancy in England?. Social Science and Medicine, 131, doi:10.1016/j.socscimed.2015.02.040

This paper examines potential explanations for recent declines in teenage pregnancy in England. We estimate panel data models of teenage conception, birth and abortion rates from regions in England. Although point estimates are consistent with the pr... Read More

Home bias in officiating: evidence from international cricket (2014)
Journal Article
Sacheti, A., Gregory-Smith, I., & Paton, D. (2015). Home bias in officiating: evidence from international cricket. Journal of the Royal Statistical Society: Series A, 178(3), 741-755. doi:10.1111/rssa.12086

We use data on leg before wicket decisions from 1000 test cricket matches to quantify the systematic bias by officials (umpires) to favour home teams. We exploit recent changes in the regulation of test cricket as a series of natural experiments to h... Read More

Uncertainty of outcome or strengths of teams: an economic analysis of attendance demand for international cricket (2014)
Journal Article
Sacheti, A., Gregory-Smith, I., & Paton, D. (in press). Uncertainty of outcome or strengths of teams: an economic analysis of attendance demand for international cricket. Applied Economics, 46(17), doi:10.1080/00036846.2014.892203

A significant body of theoretical literature has argued that popular interest in sporting contests between teams is heavily influenced by how difficult it is to predict the result ex-ante. Empirical research has, however, been unable to reach a conse... Read More

Managerial decision making under uncertainty: the case of Twenty20 cricket (2014)
Journal Article
Sacheti, A., Gregory-Smith, I., & Paton, D. (2016). Managerial decision making under uncertainty: the case of Twenty20 cricket. Journal of Sports Economics, 17(1), doi:10.1177/1527002513520011

We consider managerial decision making by examining the impact of decisions taken by cricket captains on Twenty20 International (T20I) match outcomes. In particular, we examine whether pressure from external commentators is associated with suboptimal... Read More