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What does it take to get elected in a post-communist democracy? Explaining the success and failure of parliamentary candidates in Estonia

Trumm, Siim

Authors

SIIM TRUMM SIIM.TRUMM@NOTTINGHAM.AC.UK
Associate Professor



Abstract

The literature on post-communist democracies has traditionally suggested that organisational strength is considerably less important for electoral success than extensive media-based campaigns. Recent studies on party-level electoral dynamics, however, indicate that this might not be the case any longer. Building on these insights, this study goes beyond the party-level analyses of electoral success and failure by focusing on the electoral fortunes of individual candidates in a post-communist democracy. Using original data from the 2011 Estonian Candidate Survey, this paper looks at the comparative impact of candidates’ campaign spending and the strength of their local party organisation, alongside other potentially relevant characteristics, on their likelihood of getting elected and vote share. The findings suggest that candidates’ electoral performance in Estonia is still first and foremost shaped by their own campaign spending. In addition, I find evidence that candidates fare better if they have prior local-level and national-level political experience, conduct more personalised campaigns, and are positioned higher up on their party’s district-level list.

Journal Article Type Article
Publication Date Feb 1, 2016
Journal East European Politics and Societies
Print ISSN 0888-3254
Electronic ISSN 1533-8371
Publisher SAGE Publications
Peer Reviewed Peer Reviewed
Volume 30
Issue 1
APA6 Citation Trumm, S. (2016). What does it take to get elected in a post-communist democracy? Explaining the success and failure of parliamentary candidates in Estonia. East European Politics and Societies, 30(1), https://doi.org/10.1177/0888325415577862
DOI https://doi.org/10.1177/0888325415577862
Keywords electoral performance, party organisation, campaign spending, post-communist politics, Estonia
Publisher URL http://eep.sagepub.com/content/30/1/169
Copyright Statement Copyright information regarding this work can be found at the following address: http://eprints.nottingh.../end_user_agreement.pdf

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Copyright Statement
Copyright information regarding this work can be found at the following address: http://eprints.nottingham.ac.uk/end_user_agreement.pdf





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