Elvan G�kalp
Capacity management of migrant accommodation centers using approximate dynamic programming
G�kalp, Elvan; Cakir, M. Selim; Kougkoulos, Ioannis
Authors
M. Selim Cakir
Ioannis Kougkoulos
Abstract
Irregular migration has become a major macro-economic and political challenge. Due to rising political conflicts and income inequality across the world, the number of migrants is expected to increase exponentially over the coming decade. Thus, it is of critical importance to effectively use the limited resources allocated to humanitarian operations for irregular migration. In this paper we model the problem of capacity management and migrant transfers within a network of migrant accommodation centres with stochastic dynamic programming. Our study extends the literature on stochastic modelling and humanitarian operations by applying Approximate Dynamic Programming (ADP) into a new context. The model is translatable in other similar migratory routes and locations around the world where governments need to deal with uncertain numbers of irregular migrants. We test our approach on five Greek islands which have been the main migrant arrival points during the European Migrant Crisis. The results show that ADP provides a better computational performance than a simple myopic heuristic. The sensitivity analysis gives insights to the decision-makers about the impact of parameter values on the policies.
Citation
Gökalp, E., Cakir, M. S., & Kougkoulos, I. (2021). Capacity management of migrant accommodation centers using approximate dynamic programming. Journal of the Operational Research Society, https://doi.org/10.1080/01605682.2021.1907242
Journal Article Type | Article |
---|---|
Acceptance Date | Mar 15, 2021 |
Online Publication Date | May 13, 2021 |
Publication Date | May 13, 2021 |
Deposit Date | Aug 4, 2021 |
Publicly Available Date | Aug 6, 2021 |
Journal | Journal of the Operational Research Society |
Print ISSN | 0160-5682 |
Electronic ISSN | 1476-9360 |
Publisher | Taylor and Francis |
Peer Reviewed | Peer Reviewed |
DOI | https://doi.org/10.1080/01605682.2021.1907242 |
Keywords | Humanitarian operations; Sustainable Development Goals; Strategic planning; Stochastic Programming; Dynamic Programming |
Public URL | https://nottingham-repository.worktribe.com/output/5954742 |
Publisher URL | https://www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10.1080/01605682.2021.1907242 |
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Capacity Management
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https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0/