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Outputs (42)

Expert assessment of future vulnerability of the global peatland carbon sink (2020)
Journal Article
Loisel, J., Gallego-Sala, A. V., Amesbury, M. J., Magnan, G., Anshari, G., Beilman, D. W., …Wu, J. (2020). Expert assessment of future vulnerability of the global peatland carbon sink. Nature Climate Change, https://doi.org/10.1038/s41558-020-00944-0

© 2020, The Author(s), under exclusive licence to Springer Nature Limited. The carbon balance of peatlands is predicted to shift from a sink to a source this century. However, peatland ecosystems are still omitted from the main Earth system models th... Read More about Expert assessment of future vulnerability of the global peatland carbon sink.

The anatomy of behavioral responses to social assistance when informal employment is high (2020)
Journal Article
Bergolo, M., & Cruces, G. (2021). The anatomy of behavioral responses to social assistance when informal employment is high. Journal of Public Economics, 193, Article 104313. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jpubeco.2020.104313

The disincentive effects of social assistance programs on registered (or formal) employment are a first-order policy concern in developing and middle-income countries. We study the impact of a conditional cash transfer (CCT) program in Uruguay on the... Read More about The anatomy of behavioral responses to social assistance when informal employment is high.

Micro to Macro: Optimal Trade Policy With Firm Heterogeneity (2020)
Journal Article
Costinot, A., Rodríguez-Clare, A., & Werning, I. (2020). Micro to Macro: Optimal Trade Policy With Firm Heterogeneity. Econometrica, 88(6), 2739-2776. https://doi.org/10.3982/ECTA14763

The empirical observation that "large firms tend to export, whereas small firms do not" has transformed the way economists think about the determinants of international trade. Yet, it has had surprisingly little impact on how economists think about t... Read More about Micro to Macro: Optimal Trade Policy With Firm Heterogeneity.

The rhetoric of closed borders: quotas, lax enforcement and illegal immigration (2020)
Preprint / Working Paper
Facchini, G., & Testa, C. The rhetoric of closed borders: quotas, lax enforcement and illegal immigration

Governments do not always enforce their laws, even when they have the means of doing so, and lax enforcement is common in the domain of immigration policy. To explain this paradox we develop a political agency model where gains from migration are une... Read More about The rhetoric of closed borders: quotas, lax enforcement and illegal immigration.

Skill-Biased Structural Change (2020)
Preprint / Working Paper
Buera, F. J., Kaboski, J. P., Rogerson, R., & Vizcaino, J. I. Skill-Biased Structural Change

Using a broad panel of advanced economies we document that increases in GDP per capita are associated with a systematic shift in the composition of value added to sectors that are intensive in high-skill labor, a process we label as skill-biased stru... Read More about Skill-Biased Structural Change.

Do Better-Performing Nongovernmental Organizations Report More Accurately? Evidence from Financial Accounts in Uganda (2020)
Journal Article
Burger, R., Dang, C. T., & Owens, T. (2021). Do Better-Performing Nongovernmental Organizations Report More Accurately? Evidence from Financial Accounts in Uganda. Economic Development and Cultural Change, 69(2), 789-828. https://doi.org/10.1086/703099

We use Benford’s Law to investigate inaccurate financial reports of a representative sample of Ugandan nongovernmental organizations (NGOs). We find that 25% of the sample provided information that did not conform to the Benford distribution, suggest... Read More about Do Better-Performing Nongovernmental Organizations Report More Accurately? Evidence from Financial Accounts in Uganda.

Under-utilised crops and rural livelihoods: Bambara groundnut in Tanzania (2020)
Journal Article
Boulay, B., Khan, R., & Morrissey, O. (2021). Under-utilised crops and rural livelihoods: Bambara groundnut in Tanzania. Oxford Development Studies, 49(1), 88-103. https://doi.org/10.1080/13600818.2020.1839040

Indigenous crops are often neglected in development research, largely because they are grown in particular localities and only account for modest shares of agricultural production at a national level. This article aims to rectify this neglect with re... Read More about Under-utilised crops and rural livelihoods: Bambara groundnut in Tanzania.

Brexit Uncertainty and Trade Disintegration (2020)
Journal Article
Graziano, A., Handley, K., & Limão, N. (2021). Brexit Uncertainty and Trade Disintegration. Economic Journal, 131(635), 1150–1185. https://doi.org/10.1093/ej/ueaa113

We estimate the uncertainty effects of preferential trade disagreements. Increases in the probability of Britain’s exit from the European Union (Brexit) reduce bilateral export values and trade participation. These effects are increasing in trade pol... Read More about Brexit Uncertainty and Trade Disintegration.

Economic uncertainty before and during the COVID-19 pandemic (2020)
Journal Article
Altig, D., Baker, S., Barrero, J. M., Bloom, N., Bunn, P., Chen, S., …Thwaites, G. (2020). Economic uncertainty before and during the COVID-19 pandemic. Journal of Public Economics, 191, Article 104274. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jpubeco.2020.104274

We consider several economic uncertainty indicators for the US and UK before and during the COVID-19 pandemic: implied stock market volatility, newspaper-based policy uncertainty, Twitter chatter about economic uncertainty, subjective uncertainty abo... Read More about Economic uncertainty before and during the COVID-19 pandemic.