All Outputs (629)

Strategic Profiles and Tactical Shifts: Rethinking China’s Digital Diplomacy (2025)
Journal Article
Sullivan, J., Struve, B., & Wang, W. (2025). Strategic Profiles and Tactical Shifts: Rethinking China’s Digital Diplomacy. British Journal of Politics and International Relations, https://doi.org/10.1177/13691481251341686

This article revisits assumptions about China's "Wolf Warrior" diplomacy by analysing patterns in official digital communication. Drawing on a manually coded sample of 3,846 tweets from verified Chinese diplomatic accounts (2017-2022), we identify fi... Read More about Strategic Profiles and Tactical Shifts: Rethinking China’s Digital Diplomacy.

Strategic Candidates and Sacrificial Lambs?: An Exploration of Gender and Race in State Executive Elections (2025)
Journal Article
Fahey, K., Pyeatt, N., & Yanus, A. (2025). Strategic Candidates and Sacrificial Lambs?: An Exploration of Gender and Race in State Executive Elections. State Politics and Policy Quarterly, https://doi.org/10.1017/spq.2025.10004

Which electorates suit which women candidates for higher office? This question becomes increasingly important as greater numbers of women run for office in American elections. Consistent with previous research, we posit that women candidates will win... Read More about Strategic Candidates and Sacrificial Lambs?: An Exploration of Gender and Race in State Executive Elections.

Predicting the Past: Testing Expert Historical Judgement (2025)
Journal Article
Gill, D. J., Trachtenberg, M., Gill, M. J., Tetlock, P. E., Robb, T. K., Varnum, M. E. W., Hutcherson, C. A., Grossmann, I., & Trodd, Z. (in press). Predicting the Past: Testing Expert Historical Judgement. American Historical Review,

Absences pervade the historical record. The loss or destruction of material, redaction of documents, silence of participants, data embargoes, and poor record keeping present inherent difficulties to any understanding of the past. Gaps in the historic... Read More about Predicting the Past: Testing Expert Historical Judgement.

Performance Rewards and Job Satisfaction in More and Less Developed Countries: Multi‐Level Evidence From Bureaucrats in 10 Countries (2025)
Journal Article
Cantarelli, P., Meyer-Sahling, J.-H., Mikkelsen, K. S., & Schuster, C. (2025). Performance Rewards and Job Satisfaction in More and Less Developed Countries: Multi‐Level Evidence From Bureaucrats in 10 Countries. Public Administration, https://doi.org/10.1111/padm.13069

Do the same management practices lead to greater job satisfaction in poorer and richer countries? Despite the centrality of this question, prior research has not statistically assessed it through multi-country studies. We address this omission for on... Read More about Performance Rewards and Job Satisfaction in More and Less Developed Countries: Multi‐Level Evidence From Bureaucrats in 10 Countries.

Towards sustainability and beyond with Ocean Health Science (2025)
Journal Article
Plön, S., Andra, K., Auditore, L. M., Gegout, C., Hale, P., Hampe, O., Ramilo-Henry, M., Burkhardt-Holm, P., Jaigirdar, A. M., Klein, L., Maewashe, M. K., Müssig, J., Ramsarup, N., Roussouw, N., Sabin, R., Shongwe, T., & Tuddenham, P. (2025). Towards sustainability and beyond with Ocean Health Science. npj Biodiversity, 4(1), Article 23. https://doi.org/10.1038/s44185-025-00091-9

Marine mammals as indicators of Ocean Health provide a powerful narrative for inter-, multi- and transdisciplinary research. Collaborating researchers from the global north and south from various disciplines define and position OceanHealth as a trans... Read More about Towards sustainability and beyond with Ocean Health Science.

Biased perceptions of public opinion don’t define echo chambers but reveal systematic differences in political awareness (2025)
Journal Article
Cooper, C. H. V., Fahey, K., & Jones, R. (2025). Biased perceptions of public opinion don’t define echo chambers but reveal systematic differences in political awareness. PLoS ONE, 20(6), Article e0324507. https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0324507

Echo chambers are widely acknowledged as a feature of online discourse and current politics: a phenomenon arising when people selectively engage with like-minded others and are shielded from opposing ideas. Various studies have operationalized the co... Read More about Biased perceptions of public opinion don’t define echo chambers but reveal systematic differences in political awareness.

A Partially Pooled NSUM Model: Detailed estimation of CSEM trafficking prevalence in Philippine municipalities (2025)
Journal Article
Nyarko-Agyei, A., Moser, S., Seymour, R. G., Brewster, B., Li, S., Weir, E., Landman, T., Wyman, E., Torres, C. B., Fell, I., & Boyd, D. (2025). A Partially Pooled NSUM Model: Detailed estimation of CSEM trafficking prevalence in Philippine municipalities. Journal of the Royal Statistical Society: Series C, Article qlaf033. https://doi.org/10.1093/jrsssc/qlaf033

Effective policy and intervention strategies to combat human trafficking for child sexual exploitation material (CSEM) production require accurate prevalence estimates. Traditional Network Scale Up Method (NSUM) models often necessitate stan-dalone s... Read More about A Partially Pooled NSUM Model: Detailed estimation of CSEM trafficking prevalence in Philippine municipalities.

Leviathan on a Leash (2025)
Book
Fleming, S. (2025). Leviathan on a Leash. Princeton University Press

Social media campaigning across multiple platforms: evidence from the 2024 European elections (2025)
Journal Article
Daniel, W. T., & Obholzer, L. (2025). Social media campaigning across multiple platforms: evidence from the 2024 European elections. West European Politics, https://doi.org/10.1080/01402382.2025.2501464

Politicians have a rational incentive to keep up with voters’ growing use of social media platforms. How they do so is important for democratic political communication. The article examines how the shifting nature of social media campaigning is being... Read More about Social media campaigning across multiple platforms: evidence from the 2024 European elections.

The Secret History of UK Security Vetting from 1909 to the Present (2025)
Book
Lomas, D. (2025). The Secret History of UK Security Vetting from 1909 to the Present. Bloomsbury Publishing

Using newly available government records, private papers, and documents obtained through Freedom of Information, this book tells the secret story of UK security vetting from 1914 to the present. Although Britain avoided American-style red-baiting and... Read More about The Secret History of UK Security Vetting from 1909 to the Present.

COVID-19 and urban poor communities in Metro Manila: Social vulnerability and the ‘pasaway’ (2025)
Journal Article
Eadie, P., Pimentel-Simbulan, N., Su, Y., & Yacub, C. (2025). COVID-19 and urban poor communities in Metro Manila: Social vulnerability and the ‘pasaway’. International Journal of Disaster Risk Reduction, 125, Article 105565. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ijdrr.2025.105565

This article examines the impact of the Philippine government's response to COVID-19 on urban poor communities in Metro Manila. The central government's response to COVID-19 was militarised and this left many socially vulnerable urban poor families w... Read More about COVID-19 and urban poor communities in Metro Manila: Social vulnerability and the ‘pasaway’.

Campaign personalisation at the 2023 Estonian Parliamentary election (2025)
Journal Article
Trumm, S. (2025). Campaign personalisation at the 2023 Estonian Parliamentary election. Representation, https://doi.org/10.1080/00344893.2025.2501683

Parliamentary candidates face choices about the nature of their electoral campaign. Among else, they must strike a balance between promoting their party's image and their own personal appeal, and how much effort to invest in developing personalised c... Read More about Campaign personalisation at the 2023 Estonian Parliamentary election.

The Ball That Failed to Curve: The 2023 “Populist Polarizing” Referendum in Poland (2025)
Journal Article
Musiał-Karg, M., & Casal Bértoa, F. (2025). The Ball That Failed to Curve: The 2023 “Populist Polarizing” Referendum in Poland. Politics and Governance, 13, Article 9206. https://doi.org/10.17645/pag.9206

In October 2023, Poland’s illiberal right-wing government held a referendum modeled after the one held in Hungary one year earlier. Organized in conjunction with the parliamentary elections under the pretext of “saving costs,” the 2023 Polish referen... Read More about The Ball That Failed to Curve: The 2023 “Populist Polarizing” Referendum in Poland.

Ecological Personhood: A Bridging Approach (2025)
Journal Article
FLEMING, S., & BRITO VIEIRA, M. (in press). Ecological Personhood: A Bridging Approach. American Political Science Review,

Aotearoa New Zealand’s recognition of the Whanganui River as a legal person in 2017 has generated a lively debate. While advocates argue that ascribing personhood to natural entities is a powerful tool for redressing historical injustices against Ind... Read More about Ecological Personhood: A Bridging Approach.

Trust without knowledge? UK intelligence agencies and the public trust conundrum (2025)
Journal Article
Hiscoke, G., Ward, S., & Lomas, D. (2025). Trust without knowledge? UK intelligence agencies and the public trust conundrum. Intelligence and National Security, 40(3), 548-575. https://doi.org/10.1080/02684527.2025.2491239

Intelligence agencies operating in modern-day liberal democracies are dependent on the public for support. In recent years, the UK’s intelligence and security agencies have adopted a public facing role aiming to build ‘trust’ and developing wider pub... Read More about Trust without knowledge? UK intelligence agencies and the public trust conundrum.

Undivine Intervention: How Social Networks Mediate the Relationship between Religious Repression and Political Violence (2025)
Journal Article
Henne, P. S., & Klocek, J. (2025). Undivine Intervention: How Social Networks Mediate the Relationship between Religious Repression and Political Violence. Conflict Management and Peace Science, https://doi.org/10.1177/0738894225133290

A robust literature demonstrates a relationship between religious repression and political violence, but this research struggles to clarify the causal link between the two behaviors. Drawing on the relational turn in international relations, we argue... Read More about Undivine Intervention: How Social Networks Mediate the Relationship between Religious Repression and Political Violence.

‘This country is free, but for the few’: Informal labour, class politics, and urban order in Dar es Salaam, Tanzania (2025)
Journal Article
Collord, M., & Nyamsenda, S. (2025). ‘This country is free, but for the few’: Informal labour, class politics, and urban order in Dar es Salaam, Tanzania. World Development, 192, Article 107027. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.worlddev.2025.107027

This article explores the relationships between regime consolidation, labour informality, and class formation in African cities. It examines how, as part of broader efforts to build political support, incumbent leaders and their parties manipulate cl... Read More about ‘This country is free, but for the few’: Informal labour, class politics, and urban order in Dar es Salaam, Tanzania.

Military Labor Systems, Domestic Politics, and the Battlefield (2025)
Journal Article
Atkinson, D. B., Fahey, K., Lindstädt, R., & Warner, Z. (2025). Military Labor Systems, Domestic Politics, and the Battlefield. Comparative Political Studies, https://doi.org/10.1177/00104140251328026

Research has demonstrated that decisions around military conflict can significantly impact governments’ political survival. One important strand of the extant literature has focused on the impact of military labor systems, with most academic studies... Read More about Military Labor Systems, Domestic Politics, and the Battlefield.

Differentiated yet common sentiments: UK news coverage on the Biden–Xi summit meeting (2025)
Journal Article
Lewis, A., & Lai, H. (2025). Differentiated yet common sentiments: UK news coverage on the Biden–Xi summit meeting. Global Media and China, 10(2), 199-217. https://doi.org/10.1177/20594364251325515

Britain’s policy on China fluctuated from positive engagement to China scepticism between 2015 and 2023, influenced by geopolitical and domestic politics and economic concerns. British media coverage of US–China interactions and rivalry therefore war... Read More about Differentiated yet common sentiments: UK news coverage on the Biden–Xi summit meeting.

Comparative judgement modelling to map forced marriage at local levels (2025)
Journal Article
Seymour, R., Nyarko-Agyei, A., McCabe, H., Severn, K., Sirl, D., Kypraios, T., & Taylor, A. (2025). Comparative judgement modelling to map forced marriage at local levels. Annals of Applied Statistics, 19(1), 419-439. https://doi.org/10.1214/24-AOAS1966

Forcing someone into marriage against their will is a violation of their human rights. In 2021, the county of Nottinghamshire, UK, launched a strategy to tackle forced marriage and violence against women and girls. We set out to map the risk of force... Read More about Comparative judgement modelling to map forced marriage at local levels.