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Estimating the global conservation status of more than 15,000 Amazonian tree species

ter Steege, Hans; Pitman, Nigel C.A.; Killeen, Timothy J.; Laurance, William F.; Peres, Carlos A.; Guevara, Juan Ernesto; Salom?o, Rafael P.; Castilho, Carolina V.; Amaral, Ieda; de Almeida Matos, Francisca Dion?zia; de Souza Coelho, Luiz; Magnusson, William E.; Phillips, Oliver L.; de Andrade Lima Filho, Diogenes; de Jesus Veiga Carim, Marcelo; Irume, Mariana Vict?ria; Martins, Maria Pires; Molino, Jean-Fran?ois; Sabatier, Daniel; Wittmann, Florian; L?pez, Dairon C?rdenas; da Silva Guimaraes, Jos? Renan; Mendoza, Abel Monteagudo; Vargas, Percy N??ez; Manzatto, Angelo Gilberto; Reis, Neidiane Farias Costa; Terborgh, John; Casula, Karia Regina; Montero, Juan Carlos; Feldpausch, Ted R.; Honorio Coronado, Eur?dice N.; Montoya, A.J.D.; Zartman, Charles Eugene; Mostacedo, Bonifacio; Vasquez, Rodolfo; Assis, Rafael L.; Medeiros, Marcelo Brilhante; Simon, Marcelo Fragomeni; Andrade, Ana; Camargo, Jos? L.C.; Laurance, Susan G.W.; Nascimento, H.E.M.; Marimon, Beatriz S.; Marimon Junior, Ben Hur...

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Authors

Hans ter Steege

Nigel C.A. Pitman

Timothy J. Killeen

William F. Laurance

Carlos A. Peres

Juan Ernesto Guevara

Rafael P. Salom�o

Carolina V. Castilho

Ieda Amaral

Francisca Dion�zia de Almeida Matos

Luiz de Souza Coelho

William E. Magnusson

Oliver L. Phillips

Diogenes de Andrade Lima Filho

Marcelo de Jesus Veiga Carim

Mariana Vict�ria Irume

Maria Pires Martins

Jean-Fran�ois Molino

Daniel Sabatier

Florian Wittmann

Dairon C�rdenas L�pez

Jos� Renan da Silva Guimaraes

Abel Monteagudo Mendoza

Percy N��ez Vargas

Angelo Gilberto Manzatto

Neidiane Farias Costa Reis

John Terborgh

Karia Regina Casula

Juan Carlos Montero

Ted R. Feldpausch

Eur�dice N. Honorio Coronado

A.J.D. Montoya

Charles Eugene Zartman

Bonifacio Mostacedo

Rodolfo Vasquez

Rafael L. Assis

Marcelo Brilhante Medeiros

Marcelo Fragomeni Simon

Ana Andrade

Jos� L.C. Camargo

Susan G.W. Laurance

H.E.M. Nascimento

Beatriz S. Marimon

Ben Hur Marimon Junior

Fl�via R.C. Costa

Natalia Targhetta

Ima C�lia Guimar�es Vieira

Roel J.W. Brienen

Hern�n Castellanos

Joost Duivenvoorden

Hugo Mogollon

Maria Teresa Fernandez Piedade

Gerardo A. Aymard C.

James A. Comiskey

Gabriel Damasco

N�llarett D�vila

Roosevelt Garcia-Villacorta

Pablo Roberto Stevenson Diaz

Alberto Vincentini

Thaise Emilio

Carolina Levis

Juliana Schietti

Priscila Souza

Alfonso Alonso

Francisco Dallmeier

Leandro Ferreira

David Neill

Alejandro Araujo-Murakami

Luzmila Arroyo

Fernanda Antunes Carvalho

Fernanda Coelho Souza

D�rio Dantas do Amaral

Rogerio Gribel

Bruno Garcia Luize

Marcelo Petrati Pansonato

Eduardo Venticinque

Paul Fine

Marisol Toledo

Christopher Baraloto

Carlos Ceron

Julian Engel

Terry W. Henkel

Eliana M. Jimenez

P. Maas

Maria Cristina Pe�uela Mora

Pascal Petronelli

Juan David Cardenas Revilla

Marcos Silveira

Juliana Stropp

Raquel Thomas-Caesar

Tim R. Baker

Doug Daly

Marcos R�os Paredes

Naara Ferreira da Silva

A. Fuentes

Peter M�ller J�rgensen

Jochen Sch�ngart

Miles R. Silman

Nicol�s Casta�o Arboleda

Bruno Bar�ante Ladvocat Cintra

Fernando Cornejo Valverde

Anthony Di Fiore

Juan Phillips

Tinde R. van Andel

P. von Hildebrand

E.M. Barbosa

Luiz Carlos de Matos Bonates

D. de Castro

E. de Sousa Farias

Therany Gonzales

Jean-Louis Guillaumet

Bruce Hoffman

Yadvinder Malhi

Ires Paula de Andrade Miranda

Adriana Prieto

Agustin Rudas

Ademir R. Ruschell

Natalino Silva

Cesar Vela

Vincent A. Vos

Egl�e L. Zent

Stanford Zent

Angela Cano

Marcelo Trindade Nascimento

Alexandre A. Oliveira

Hirma Ramirez-Angulo

Jos� Ferreira Ramos

Rodrigo Sierra

Milton Tirado

Maria Natalia Uma�a Medina

Geertje M.F. van der Heijden

Emilio Vilanova Torre

Corine Vriesendorp

Ophelia Wang

Kenneth R. Young

Claudia Baider

Henrik Balslev

Natalia de Castro

William Farfan-Rios

Cid Ferreira

Casimiro Mendoza

Italo Mesones

Armando Torres-Lezama

Ligia Estela Urrego Giraldo

Daniel Villarroel

Roderick J. Zagt

Miguel Alexiades

Karina Garcia-Cabrera

Lionel Hernandez

Isau Huamantupa-Chuquimaco

William Milliken

Walter Palacios Cuenca

Susamar Pansini

Daniela Pauletto

Freddy Ramirez Arevalo

Adeilza Felipe Sampaio

Elvis H. Valderrama Sandoval

Luis Valenzuela Gamarra



Abstract

Estimates of extinction risk for Amazonian plant and animal species are rare and not often incorporated into land-use policy and conservation planning. We overlay spatial distribution models with historical and projected deforestation to show that at least 36% and up to 57% of all Amazonian tree species are likely to qualify as globally threatened under International Union for Conservation of Nature (IUCN) Red List criteria. If confirmed, these results would increase the number of threatened plant species on Earth by 22%. We show that the trends observed in Amazonia apply to trees throughout the tropics, and we predict thatmost of the world’s >40,000 tropical tree species now qualify as globally threatened. A gap analysis suggests that existing Amazonian protected areas and indigenous territories will protect viable populations of most threatened species if these areas suffer no further degradation, highlighting the key roles that protected areas, indigenous peoples, and improved governance can play in preventing large-scale extinctions in the tropics in this century.

Citation

ter Steege, H., Pitman, N. C., Killeen, T. J., Laurance, W. F., Peres, C. A., Guevara, J. E., …Gamarra, L. V. (in press). Estimating the global conservation status of more than 15,000 Amazonian tree species. Science Advances, 1(10), 1-10. https://doi.org/10.1126/sciadv.1500936

Journal Article Type Article
Acceptance Date Oct 7, 2015
Online Publication Date Nov 20, 2015
Deposit Date Aug 21, 2017
Publicly Available Date Aug 21, 2017
Journal Science Advances
Electronic ISSN 2375-2548
Publisher American Association for the Advancement of Science
Peer Reviewed Peer Reviewed
Volume 1
Issue 10
Article Number e1500936
Pages 1-10
DOI https://doi.org/10.1126/sciadv.1500936
Public URL https://nottingham-repository.worktribe.com/output/765812
Publisher URL http://advances.sciencemag.org/content/1/10/e1500936
Contract Date Aug 21, 2017

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