Effect of COVID-19 with or without acute kidney injury on inpatient mortality in England: a national observational study using administrative data

Kolhe, Nitin V.; Fluck, Richard; Taal, Maarten

Abstract

Objectives To evaluate hospital outcomes and their predictors during the pandemic for patients with and without COVID-19, stratified by the presence of acute kidney injury (AKI). Design Retrospective observation study using the Hospital Episodes Statistics database for England. Participants 2 385 337 unique hospital admissions of adult patients from March 2020 to March 2021 in England. Main outcome measures COVID-19 cases were identified by the International Classification of Diseases, Tenth Revision, Clinical Modification (ICD-10-CM) code of U07.1. Patients with suspected COVID-19 (U07.2 code) and patients with end-stage kidney disease on chronic dialysis (N18.6 and Z99.2) were excluded. AKI cases were identified by the ICD10 code. Patients were categorised into four groups based on COVID-19 and AKI diagnoses: Group 1 - neither; Group 2 - COVID-19 only; Group 3 - AKI only; Group 4 - both. A multivariable logistic regression model was created with in-hospital mortality as the outcome, including diagnostic groups, demographics, admission methods, comorbidity severity, deprivation index and intensive therapy unit (ITU) admission. Results Among 2 385 337 admissions involving 663 628 patients, 856 544 had AKI (N17 codes) and 1 528 793 did not. Among patients without AKI, there were 1,008,774 admissions among 133,988 individuals without COVID-19 (Group 1) and 520,019 admissions among 256,037 individuals with COVID-19 (Group 2). Among patients with AKI, there were 630,342 admissions among 218,270 individuals without COVID-19 (Group 3) and 226,202 admissions among 55,333 individuals with COVID-19 (Group 4). Patients in group 4 were older (75.4 ± 13.8 years) and had greater length of stay (17.1 ± 17 days) than all other groups. They also had and had a greater proportion of males, ethnic minorities and comorbidities than other groups. Mortality was highest in Group 4 (28.7%) and lowest in Group 1 (1.1%). The increased risk of death persisted after controlling for multiple baseline factors (OR for death vs Group 1: Group 4 - 22.28, Group 2 - 9.67, Group 3 - 6.44). ITU admission was least required in Group 1 (1.2%) and most in Group 4 (10.9%), with mortality at 4.8% versus 47.8%, respectively. Conclusions Patients with COVID-19 and AKI have a high risk of mortality and should be recognised early and provided with optimal support. Planning for future pandemics should ensure adequate critical care and acute dialysis capacity. Trial registration number NCT04579562.

Citation

Kolhe, N. V., Fluck, R., & Taal, M. (2025). Effect of COVID-19 with or without acute kidney injury on inpatient mortality in England: a national observational study using administrative data. BMJ Open, 15(3), Article e095020. https://doi.org/10.1136/bmjopen-2024-095020

• Journal Article Type: Article
• Acceptance Date: Feb 6, 2025
• Online Publication Date: Mar 15, 2025
• Publication Date: Mar 15, 2025
• Deposit Date: Feb 17, 2025
• Publicly Available Date: Feb 17, 2025
• Journal: BMJ Open
• Electronic ISSN: 2044-6055
• Publisher: BMJ Publishing Group
• Peer Reviewed: Peer Reviewed
• Volume: 15
• Issue: 3
• Article Number: e095020
• DOI: https://doi.org/10.1136/bmjopen-2024-095020
• Public URL: https://nottingham-repository.worktribe.com/output/45590063
• Publisher URL: https://bmjopen.bmj.com/content/15/3/e095020