How Do Inclusionary and Exclusionary Autocracies Affect Ordinary People?

Neundorf, Anja; Gerschewski, Johannes; Olar, Roman-Gabriel

Abstract

We propose a distinction between inclusionary and exclusionary autocratic ruling strategies and develop novel theoretical propositions on the legacy that these strategies leave on citizens' political attitudes once the autocratic regime broke down. Using data of 1.3 million survey respondents from 70 countries and Hierarchical Age-Period-Cohort models we estimate between and within cohort differences in citizens' democratic support. We find that inclusionary regimes-with wider redistribution of socioeconomic and political benefits-leave a stronger anti-democratic legacy than exclusionary regimes on the political attitudes of their citizens. Similarly, citizens who were part of the winning group in an autocracy are more critical with democracy compared to citizens who were part of discriminated groups. This article contributes to our understanding about how autocracies affect the hearts and minds of ordinary citizens.

Citation

Neundorf, A., Gerschewski, J., & Olar, R.-G. (2020). How Do Inclusionary and Exclusionary Autocracies Affect Ordinary People?. Comparative Political Studies, 53(12), 1890-1925. https://doi.org/10.1177/0010414019858958

• Journal Article Type: Article
• Acceptance Date: Mar 16, 2019
• Online Publication Date: Jul 16, 2019
• Publication Date: Oct 1, 2020
• Deposit Date: Apr 29, 2019
• Publicly Available Date: Apr 29, 2019
• Journal: Comparative Political Studies
• Print ISSN: 0010-4140
• Electronic ISSN: 1552-3829
• Publisher: SAGE Publications
• Peer Reviewed: Peer Reviewed
• Volume: 53
• Issue: 12
• Pages: 1890-1925
• DOI: https://doi.org/10.1177/0010414019858958
• Keywords: Authoritarianism, public goods, micro-foundation, inclusion, exclusion, cohort analysis, political socialization
• Public URL: https://nottingham-repository.worktribe.com/output/1849092
• Publisher URL: https://journals.sagepub.com/doi/10.1177/0010414019858958
• Contract Date: Apr 29, 2019