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Outputs (3)

SIR epidemics in populations with large sub-communities (2024)
Journal Article
Ball, F., Sirl, D., & Trapman, P. (2024). SIR epidemics in populations with large sub-communities. Annals of Applied Probability, 34(5), 4408–4454. https://doi.org/10.1214/24-aap2070

We investigate final outcome properties of an SIR (susceptible → in-fective → recovered) epidemic model defined on a population of large sub-communities in which there is stronger disease transmission within the communities than between them. Our ana... Read More about SIR epidemics in populations with large sub-communities.

Comparative judgement modeling to map forced marriage at local levels (2024)
Journal Article
Seymour, R., Nyarko-Agyei, A., Mccabe, H., Severn, K., Sirl, D., Kypraios, T., & Taylor, A. (in press). Comparative judgement modeling to map forced marriage at local levels. Annals of Applied Statistics,

Forcing someone into marriage against their will is a violation of their human rights. In 2021, the county of Nottinghamshire, UK, launched a strategy to tackle forced marriage and violence against women and girls. We set out to map the risk of force... Read More about Comparative judgement modeling to map forced marriage at local levels.