All Outputs (7)

A comparative analysis of projected impacts of climate change on river runoff from global and catchment-scale hydrological models (2011)
Journal Article
Gosling, S. N., Taylor, R. G., Arnell, N. W., & Todd, M. C. (2011). A comparative analysis of projected impacts of climate change on river runoff from global and catchment-scale hydrological models. Hydrology and Earth System Sciences, 15(1), 279-294. https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-15-279-2011

We present a comparative analysis of projected impacts of climate change on river runoff from two types of distributed hydrological model, a global hydrological model (GHM) and catchment-scale hydrological models (CHM). Analyses are conducted for six... Read More about A comparative analysis of projected impacts of climate change on river runoff from global and catchment-scale hydrological models.

Multimodel estimate of the global terrestrial water balance: Setup and first results (2011)
Journal Article
Haddeland, I., Clark, D. B., Franssen, W., Ludwig, F., Voß, F., Arnell, N. W., …Yeh, P. (2011). Multimodel estimate of the global terrestrial water balance: Setup and first results. Journal of Hydrometeorology, 12(5), 869-884. https://doi.org/10.1175/2011JHM1324.1

Six land surface models and five global hydrological models participate in a model intercomparison project [WaterModel Intercomparison Project (WaterMIP)], which for the first time compares simulation results of these different classes of models in a... Read More about Multimodel estimate of the global terrestrial water balance: Setup and first results.

The benefits of quantifying climate model uncertainty in climate change impacts assessment: An example with heat-related mortality change estimates (2011)
Journal Article
Gosling, S. N., McGregor, G. R., & Lowe, J. A. (2012). The benefits of quantifying climate model uncertainty in climate change impacts assessment: An example with heat-related mortality change estimates. Climatic Change, 112(2), 217-231. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10584-011-0211-9

The majority of climate change impacts assessments account for climate change uncertainty by adopting the scenario-based approach. This typically involves assessing the impacts for a small number of emissions scenarios but neglecting the role of clim... Read More about The benefits of quantifying climate model uncertainty in climate change impacts assessment: An example with heat-related mortality change estimates.

A case study of avoiding the heat-related mortality impacts of climate change under mitigation scenarios (2011)
Journal Article
Gosling, S. N., & Lowe, J. A. (2011). A case study of avoiding the heat-related mortality impacts of climate change under mitigation scenarios. Procedia Environmental Sciences, 6, 104-111. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.proenv.2011.05.011

We compare heat-related mortality impacts for three European cities, London, Lisbon and Budapest, under five climate change policies representing different dates at which carbon dioxide (CO2) emissions peak, rates at which emissions decline, and emis... Read More about A case study of avoiding the heat-related mortality impacts of climate change under mitigation scenarios.

A review of recent developments in climate change science. Part II: The global-scale impacts of climate change (2011)
Journal Article
Gosling, S. N., Warren, R., Arnell, N. W., Good, P., Caesar, J., Bernie, D., …Smith, S. M. (2011). A review of recent developments in climate change science. Part II: The global-scale impacts of climate change. Progress in Physical Geography, 35(4), 443-464. https://doi.org/10.1177/0309133311407650

This article presents a review of recent developments in studies assessing the global-scale impacts of climate change published since the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) Fourth Assessment Report (AR4). Literature covering six main im... Read More about A review of recent developments in climate change science. Part II: The global-scale impacts of climate change.

A review of recent developments in climate change science. Part I: Understanding of future change in the large-scale climate system (2011)
Journal Article
Good, P., Caesar, J., Bernie, D., Lowe, J. A., van der Linden, P., Gosling, S. N., …McNeall, D. (2011). A review of recent developments in climate change science. Part I: Understanding of future change in the large-scale climate system. Progress in Physical Geography, 35(3), 281-296. https://doi.org/10.1177/0309133311407651

This article reviews some of the major lines of recent scientific progress relevant to the choice of global climate policy targets, focusing on changes in understanding since publication of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change Fourth Assessm... Read More about A review of recent developments in climate change science. Part I: Understanding of future change in the large-scale climate system.

Simulating current global river runoff with a global hydrological model: Model revisions, validation, and sensitivity analysis (2011)
Journal Article
Gosling, S. N., & Arnell, N. W. (2011). Simulating current global river runoff with a global hydrological model: Model revisions, validation, and sensitivity analysis. Hydrological Processes, 25(7), 1129-1145. https://doi.org/10.1002/hyp.7727

Global hydrological models (GHMs) model the land surface hydrologic dynamics of continental-scale river basins. Here we describe one such GHM, the Macro-scale-Probability-Distributed Moisture model.09 (Mac-PDM.09). The model has undergone a number of... Read More about Simulating current global river runoff with a global hydrological model: Model revisions, validation, and sensitivity analysis.