Scenario setup and forcing data for impact model evaluation and impact attribution within the third round of the Inter-Sectoral Model Intercomparison Project (ISIMIP3a)

Frieler, Katja; Volkholz, Jan; Lange, Stefan; Schewe, Jacob; Mengel, Matthias; del Rocío Rivas López, María; Otto, Christian; Reyer, Christopher P. O.; Karger, Dirk Nikolaus; Malle, Johanna T.; Treu, Simon; Menz, Christoph; Blanchard, Julia L.; Harrison, Cheryl S.; Petrik, Colleen M.; Eddy, Tyler D.; Ortega-Cisneros, Kelly; Novaglio, Camilla; Rousseau, Yannick; Watson, Reg A.; Stock, Charles; Liu, Xiao; Heneghan, Ryan; Tittensor, Derek; Maury, Olivier; Büchner, Matthias; Vogt, Thomas; Wang, Tingting; Sun, Fubao; Sauer, Inga J.; Koch, Johannes; Vanderkelen, Inne; Jägermeyr, Jonas; Müller, Christoph; Rabin, Sam; Klar, Jochen; Vega del Valle, Iliusi D.; Lasslop, Gitta; Chadburn, Sarah; Burke, Eleanor; Gallego-Sala, Angela; Smith, Noah; Chang, Jinfeng; Hantson, Stijn; Burton, Chantelle; Gädeke, Anne; Li, Fang; Gosling, Simon N.; Müller Schmied, Hannes; Hattermann, Fred; Wang, Jida; Yao, Fangfang; Hickler, Thomas; Marcé, Rafael; Pierson, Don; Thiery, Wim; Mercado-Bettín, Daniel; Ladwig, Robert; Ayala-Zamora, Ana Isabel; Forrest, Matthew; Bechtold, Michel

doi:10.5194/gmd-17-1-2024

All Outputs (6)

Global hydrological models continue to overestimate river discharge (2024)
Journal Article
Heinicke, S., Volkholz, J., Schewe, J., Gosling, S. N., Müller Schmied, H., Zimmermann, S., …Frieler, K. (2024). Global hydrological models continue to overestimate river discharge. Environmental Research Letters, 19(7), Article 074005. https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/ad52b0

Global hydrological models (GHMs) are widely used to assess the impact of climate change on streamflow, floods, and hydrological droughts. For the 'model evaluation and impact attribution' part of the current round of the Inter-Sectoral Impact Model... Read More about Global hydrological models continue to overestimate river discharge.

Unravelling long-term impact of water abstraction and climate change on endorheic lakes: A case study of Shortandy Lake in Central Asia (2024)
Journal Article
Baigaliyeva, M., Mount, N., Gosling, S. N., & McGowan, S. (in press). Unravelling long-term impact of water abstraction and climate change on endorheic lakes: A case study of Shortandy Lake in Central Asia. PLoS ONE,

Endorheic lakes, lacking river outflows, are highly sensitive to environmental changes and human interventions. Central Asia (CA) has over 6000 lakes that have experienced substantial water level variability in the past century, yet causes of recent... Read More about Unravelling long-term impact of water abstraction and climate change on endorheic lakes: A case study of Shortandy Lake in Central Asia.

Future malaria environmental suitability in Africa is sensitive to hydrology (2024)
Journal Article
Smith, M. W., Willis, T., Mroz, E., James, W. H., Klaar, M. J., Gosling, S. N., & Thomas, C. J. (2024). Future malaria environmental suitability in Africa is sensitive to hydrology. Science, 384(6696), 697-703. https://doi.org/10.1126/science.adk8755

Changes in climate shift the geographic locations that are suitable for malaria transmission because of the thermal constraints on vector Anopheles mosquitos and Plasmodium spp. malaria parasites and the lack of availability of surface water for vect... Read More about Future malaria environmental suitability in Africa is sensitive to hydrology.

The effects of extreme heat on human health in tropical Africa (2024)
Journal Article
Kunda, J. J., Gosling, S. N., & Foody, G. M. (2024). The effects of extreme heat on human health in tropical Africa. International Journal of Biometeorology, 68, 1015-1033. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00484-024-02650-4

This review examines high-quality research evidence that synthesises the effects of extreme heat on human health in tropical Africa. Web of Science (WoS) was used to identify research articles on the effects extreme heat, humidity, Wet-bulb Globe Tem... Read More about The effects of extreme heat on human health in tropical Africa.

Notable shifts beyond pre-industrial streamflow and soil moisture conditions transgress the planetary boundary for freshwater change (2024)
Journal Article
Porkka, M., Virkki, V., Wang-Erlandsson, L., Gerten, D., Gleeson, T., Mohan, C., …Kummu, M. (2024). Notable shifts beyond pre-industrial streamflow and soil moisture conditions transgress the planetary boundary for freshwater change. Nature Water, https://doi.org/10.1038/s44221-024-00208-7

Human actions compromise the many life-supporting functions provided by the freshwater cycle. Yet, scientific understanding of anthropogenic freshwater change and its long-term evolution is limited. Here, using a multi-model ensemble of global hydrol... Read More about Notable shifts beyond pre-industrial streamflow and soil moisture conditions transgress the planetary boundary for freshwater change.

Scenario setup and forcing data for impact model evaluation and impact attribution within the third round of the Inter-Sectoral Model Intercomparison Project (ISIMIP3a) (2024)
Journal Article
Frieler, K., Volkholz, J., Lange, S., Schewe, J., Mengel, M., del Rocío Rivas López, M., …Bechtold, M. (2024). Scenario setup and forcing data for impact model evaluation and impact attribution within the third round of the Inter-Sectoral Model Intercomparison Project (ISIMIP3a). Geoscientific Model Development, 17(1), 1-51. https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-17-1-2024

This paper describes the rationale and the protocol of the first component of the third simulation round of the Inter-Sectoral Impact Model Intercomparison Project (ISIMIP3a, http://www.isimip.org, last access: 2 November 2023) and the associated set... Read More about Scenario setup and forcing data for impact model evaluation and impact attribution within the third round of the Inter-Sectoral Model Intercomparison Project (ISIMIP3a).