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Outputs (17)

Systemic risk in banking, fire sales, and macroeconomic disasters (2024)
Journal Article
Bougheas, S., Harvey, D. I., Kirman, A., & Nelson, D. (2024). Systemic risk in banking, fire sales, and macroeconomic disasters. Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, 168, Article 104975. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jedc.2024.104975

We develop a dynamic computational network model of the banking system where fire sales provide the amplification mechanism of financial shocks. Each period a finite number of banks offers a large, but finite, number of loans to households. Banks wit... Read More about Systemic risk in banking, fire sales, and macroeconomic disasters.

Dynamic Investigations of an Endogenous Business Cycle Model with Heterogeneous Agents (2023)
Journal Article
Bougheas, S., Commendatore, P., Gardini, L., & Kubin, I. (2023). Dynamic Investigations of an Endogenous Business Cycle Model with Heterogeneous Agents. Computational Economics, https://doi.org/10.1007/s10614-023-10492-2

We introduce agents'heterogeneity into a model of endogenous business cycles, in which agents can invest either in 'good'projects that contribute to future capital formation, or in 'bad' projects without that property. The resulting map involves thre... Read More about Dynamic Investigations of an Endogenous Business Cycle Model with Heterogeneous Agents.

Contagion in networks: Stability and efficiency (2021)
Journal Article
Bougheas, S. (2022). Contagion in networks: Stability and efficiency. Mathematical Social Sciences, 115, 64-77. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.mathsocsci.2021.10.006

We study the formation of networks in environments where agents derive benefits from their neighbours (immediate links) but suffer losses through contagion when any agent on a path that connects them is hit by a shock. We first consider networks with... Read More about Contagion in networks: Stability and efficiency.

A Theory of Outside Equity: Financing Multiple Projects (2021)
Journal Article
Bougheas, S., & Wang, T. (2021). A Theory of Outside Equity: Financing Multiple Projects. Journal of Corporate Finance, 69, Article 102025. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jcorpfin.2021.102025

In the financial economics literature debt contracts provide optimal solutions for addressing managerial moral hazard problems. We analyze a model with multiple projects where the manager obtains private information about their quality after the cont... Read More about A Theory of Outside Equity: Financing Multiple Projects.

Financial System Architecture and the Patterns of International Trade (2021)
Journal Article
Falvey, R., Defever, F., Bougheas, S., & Amissah, E. (2021). Financial System Architecture and the Patterns of International Trade. European Economic Review, 136, Article 103751. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.euroecorev.2021.103751

Countries differ in the extent to which their financial systems rely on banks or on financial markets. We offer a model featuring a complex relationship between countries’ financial system architecture and their comparative advantage. Countries with... Read More about Financial System Architecture and the Patterns of International Trade.

Foreign currency borrowing, exports and firm performance: evidence from a currency crisis (2018)
Journal Article
Bougheas, S., Lim, H., Mateut, S., Mizen, P., & Yalcin, C. (2018). Foreign currency borrowing, exports and firm performance: evidence from a currency crisis. European Journal of Finance, 24(17), 1649-1671. https://doi.org/10.1080/1351847x.2017.1421246

This paper develops a simple signaling model of foreign currency borrowing that yields predictions about firm survival and performance during a currency crisis. Using a large panel of firm level data for South Korea we offer empirical support for man... Read More about Foreign currency borrowing, exports and firm performance: evidence from a currency crisis.

Systemic risk and the optimal seniority structure of banking liabilities (2018)
Journal Article
Bougheas, S., & Kirman, A. (2018). Systemic risk and the optimal seniority structure of banking liabilities. International Journal of Finance and Economics, 23(1), 47-54. https://doi.org/10.1002/ijfe.1602

The paper argues that systemic risk must be taken into account when designing optimal bankruptcy procedures in general, and priority rules in particular. Allowing for endogenous formation of links in the interbank market we show that the optimal poli... Read More about Systemic risk and the optimal seniority structure of banking liabilities.

Systemic risk and macroeconomic fat tails (2017)
Book Chapter
Bougheas, S., Harvey, D., & Kirman, A. (2018). Systemic risk and macroeconomic fat tails. In P. Commendatore, I. Kubin, S. Bougheas, A. Kirman, M. Kopel, & G. I. Bischi (Eds.), The economy as a complex spatial system (119-136). Cham: Springer. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-319-65627-4_6

We propose a mechanism for shock amplification that potentially can account for fat tails in the distribution of the growth rate of national output. We argue that extreme macroeconomic events, such as the Great Depression and the Great Recession, wer... Read More about Systemic risk and macroeconomic fat tails.

Do psychological fallacies influence trading in financial markets? Evidence from the foreign exchange market (2017)
Journal Article
Bleaney, M., Bougheas, S., & Zhiyong, L. (2017). Do psychological fallacies influence trading in financial markets? Evidence from the foreign exchange market. Journal of Behavioral Finance, 18(3), 344-357. https://doi.org/10.1080/15427560.2017.1331234

Research in both economics and psychology suggests that, when agents predict the next value of a random series, they frequently exhibit two types of biases, which are called the gambler’s fallacy (GF) and the hot hand fallacy (HHF). The gambler’s fal... Read More about Do psychological fallacies influence trading in financial markets? Evidence from the foreign exchange market.

Entrepreneurial migration in an integrated world (2017)
Journal Article
Bougheas, S., & Falvey, R. (2018). Entrepreneurial migration in an integrated world. Scandinavian Journal of Economics, 120(4), 1171-1201. https://doi.org/10.1111/sjoe.12249

A growing number of developed countries are offering entrepreneurial visas as a means of attracting entrepreneurial talent and capital. In this paper we use a simple two sector model of international trade with heterogeneous agents and financial fric... Read More about Entrepreneurial migration in an integrated world.