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Empirical Quantification of Predictive Uncertainty Due to Model Discrepancy by Training with an Ensemble of Experimental Designs: An Application to Ion Channel Kinetics (2023)
Journal Article
Shuttleworth, J. G., Lei, C. L., Whittaker, D. G., Windley, M. J., Hill, A. P., Preston, S. P., & Mirams, G. R. (2024). Empirical Quantification of Predictive Uncertainty Due to Model Discrepancy by Training with an Ensemble of Experimental Designs: An Application to Ion Channel Kinetics. Bulletin of Mathematical Biology, 86(1), Article 2. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11538-023-01224-6

When using mathematical models to make quantitative predictions for clinical or industrial use, it is important that predictions come with a reliable estimate of their accuracy (uncertainty quantification). Because models of complex biological system... Read More about Empirical Quantification of Predictive Uncertainty Due to Model Discrepancy by Training with an Ensemble of Experimental Designs: An Application to Ion Channel Kinetics.

The impact of uncertainty in hERG binding mechanism on in silico predictions of drug-induced proarrhythmic risk (2023)
Journal Article
Lei, C. L., Whittaker, D. G., & Mirams, G. R. (2024). The impact of uncertainty in hERG binding mechanism on in silico predictions of drug-induced proarrhythmic risk. British Journal of Pharmacology, 181(7), 987-1004. https://doi.org/10.1111/bph.16250

Background and Purpose
Drug-induced reduction of the rapid delayed rectifier potassium current carried by the human Ether-à-go-go-Related Gene (hERG) channel is associated with increased risk of arrhythmias. Recent updates to drug safety regulatory... Read More about The impact of uncertainty in hERG binding mechanism on in silico predictions of drug-induced proarrhythmic risk.

Computational Cardiac Safety Testing (2023)
Book Chapter
Mirams, G. R. (2023). Computational Cardiac Safety Testing. In F. J. Hock, M. R. Gralinski, & M. K. Pugsley (Eds.), Drug Discovery and Evaluation: Safety and Pharmacokinetic Assays (1-33). Springer. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-030-73317-9_137-1

In recent years, computational cardiac electrophysiology simulations using mathematical models have begun to be used in industrial and regulatory assessment of the proarrhythmic risk of candidate drug compounds. The aim of this chapter is to equip th... Read More about Computational Cardiac Safety Testing.