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Professor SIMON GOSLING's Outputs (98)

Cross‐scale intercomparison of climate change impacts simulated by regional and global hydrological models in eleven large river basins (2017)
Journal Article
Hattermann, F., Krysanova, V., Gosling, S. N., Dankers, R., Daggupati, P., Donnelly, C., Flörke, M., Huang, S., Motovilov, Y., Buda, S., Yang, T., Müller, C., Leng, G., Tang, Q., Portmann, F., Hagemann, S., Gerten, D., Wada, Y., Masaki, Y., Alemayehu, T., …Samaniego, L. (2017). Cross‐scale intercomparison of climate change impacts simulated by regional and global hydrological models in eleven large river basins. Climatic Change, 141(3), 561-576. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10584-016-1829-4

Ideally, the results from models operating at different scales should agree in trend direction and magnitude of impacts under climate change. However, this implies that the sensitivity to climate variability and climate change is comparable for impac... Read More about Cross‐scale intercomparison of climate change impacts simulated by regional and global hydrological models in eleven large river basins.

Erratum to: A comparison of changes in river runoff from multiple global and catchment-scale hydrological models under global warming scenarios of 1 °C, 2 °C and 3 °C (Climatic Change, 10.1007/s10584-016-1773-3) (2016)
Journal Article
Gosling, S. N., Zaherpour, J., Mount, N. J., Hattermann, F. F., Dankers, R., Arheimer, B., Breuer, L., Ding, J., Haddeland, I., Kumar, R., Kundu, D., Liu, J., van Griensven, A., Veldkamp, T. I., Vetter, T., Wang, X., & Zhang, X. (2017). Erratum to: A comparison of changes in river runoff from multiple global and catchment-scale hydrological models under global warming scenarios of 1 °C, 2 °C and 3 °C (Climatic Change, 10.1007/s10584-016-1773-3). Climatic Change, 141(3), 597-598. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10584-016-1855-2

In the initial online publication, a middle initial “J.” was added to the name of second author Jamal Zaherpour. This middle initial should not be there. The original publication has now been corrected as well.

Towards a comprehensive climate impacts assessment of solar geoengineering (2016)
Journal Article
Irvine, P. J., Kravitz, B., Lawrence, M. G., Gerten, D., Caminade, C., Gosling, S. N., Hendy, E., Kassie, B., Kissling, W. D., Muri, H., Oschlies, A., & Smith, S. J. (2017). Towards a comprehensive climate impacts assessment of solar geoengineering. Earth's Future, 5(1), 93-106. https://doi.org/10.1002/2016EF000389

Despite a growing literature on the climate response to solar geoengineering – proposals to cool the planet by increasing the planetary albedo – there has been little published on the impacts of solar geoengineering on natural and human systems such... Read More about Towards a comprehensive climate impacts assessment of solar geoengineering.

A comparison of changes in river runoff from multiple global and catchment-scale hydrological models under global warming scenarios of 1°C, 2°C and 3°C (2016)
Journal Article
Gosling, S., Zaherpour, J., Mount, N. J., Hattermann, F., Dankers, R., Arheimer, B., Breuer, L., Ding, J., Haddeland, I., Kumar, R., Kundu, D., Liu, J., van Griensven, A., Veldkamp, T., Vetter, T., Wang, X., & Zhang, X. (in press). A comparison of changes in river runoff from multiple global and catchment-scale hydrological models under global warming scenarios of 1°C, 2°C and 3°C. Climatic Change, https://doi.org/10.1007/s10584-016-1773-3

We present one of the first climate change impact assessments on river runoff that utilises an ensemble of global hydrological models (Glob-HMs) and an ensemble of catchment-scale hydrological models (Cat-HMs), across multiple catchments: the upper A... Read More about A comparison of changes in river runoff from multiple global and catchment-scale hydrological models under global warming scenarios of 1°C, 2°C and 3°C.

Perspectives on the Synoptic Climate Classification and its Role in Interdisciplinary Research (2016)
Journal Article
Dixon, P. G., Allen, M., Gosling, S. N., Hondula, D. M., Ingole, V., Lucas, R., & Vanos, J. K. (2016). Perspectives on the Synoptic Climate Classification and its Role in Interdisciplinary Research. Geography Compass, 10(4), 147-164. https://doi.org/10.1111/gec3.12264

© 2016 John Wiley & Sons Ltd. Synoptic climatology has a long history of research where weather data are aggregated and composited to gain a better understanding of atmospheric effects on non-atmospheric variables. This has resulted in an applied s... Read More about Perspectives on the Synoptic Climate Classification and its Role in Interdisciplinary Research.

Enhancing the spatial resolution of satellite-derived land surface temperature mapping for urban areas (2015)
Journal Article
Feng, X., Foody, G., Aplin, P., & Gosling, S. (2015). Enhancing the spatial resolution of satellite-derived land surface temperature mapping for urban areas. Sustainable Cities and Society, 19, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.scs.2015.04.007

Land surface temperature (LST) is an important environmental variable for urban studies such as those focused on the urban heat island (UHI). Though satellite-derived LST could be a useful complement to traditional LST data sources, the spatial resol... Read More about Enhancing the spatial resolution of satellite-derived land surface temperature mapping for urban areas.

A framework for the cross-sectoral integration of multi-model impact projections: land use decisions under climate impacts uncertainties (2015)
Journal Article
Frieler, K., Levermann, A., Elliott, J., Heinke, J., Arneth, A., Bierkens, M., Ciais, P., Clark, D., Deryng, D., Doll, P., Falloon, P., Fekete, B., Folberth, C., Friend, A., Gelhorn, C., Gosling, S. N., Haddeland, I., Khabarov, N., Lomas, M., Masaki, Y., …Schellnhuber, H. (2015). A framework for the cross-sectoral integration of multi-model impact projections: land use decisions under climate impacts uncertainties. Earth System Dynamics, 6(2), 447-460. https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-6-447-2015

Climate change and its impacts already pose considerable challenges for societies that will further increase with global warming (IPCC, 2014a, b). Uncertainties of the climatic response to greenhouse gas emissions include the potential passing of lar... Read More about A framework for the cross-sectoral integration of multi-model impact projections: land use decisions under climate impacts uncertainties.

Supplementary material to "The relevance of uncertainty in future crop production for mitigation strategy planning" (2014)
Other
Frieler, K., Levermann, A., Elliott, J., Heinke, J., Arneth, A., Bierkens, M. F. P., Ciais, P., Clark, D. B., Deryng, D., Döll, P., Falloon, P., Fekete, B., Folberth, C., Friend, A. D., Gellhorn, C., Gosling, S. N., Haddeland, I., Khabarov, N., Lomas, M., Masaki, Y., …Schellnhuber, H. J. (2014). Supplementary material to "The relevance of uncertainty in future crop production for mitigation strategy planning"

The impacts of climate change on river flood risk at the global scale (2014)
Journal Article
Arnell, N., & Gosling, S. N. (2016). The impacts of climate change on river flood risk at the global scale. Climatic Change, 134(3), 387-401. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10584-014-1084-5

This paper presents an assessment of the implications of climate change for global river flood risk. It is based on the estimation of flood frequency relationships at a grid resolution of 0.5×0.5°, using a global hydrological model with climate scena... Read More about The impacts of climate change on river flood risk at the global scale.

Hydrological droughts in the 21st century, hotspots and uncertainties from a global multimodel ensemble experiment (2014)
Journal Article
Prudhomme, C., Giuntoli, I., Robinson, E. L., Clark, D. B., Arnell, N. W., Dankers, R., Fekete, B. M., Franssen, W., Gerten, D., Gosling, S. N., Hagemann, S., Hannah, D. M., Kim, H., Masaki, Y., Satoh, Y., Stacke, T., Wada, Y., & Wisser, D. (2014). Hydrological droughts in the 21st century, hotspots and uncertainties from a global multimodel ensemble experiment. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, 111(9), 3262-3267. https://doi.org/10.1073/pnas.1222473110

Increasing concentrations of greenhouse gases in the atmosphere are expected to modify the global water cycle with significant consequences for terrestrial hydrology. We assess the impact of climate change on hydrological droughts in a multimodel exp... Read More about Hydrological droughts in the 21st century, hotspots and uncertainties from a global multimodel ensemble experiment.

First look at changes in flood hazard in the Inter-Sectoral Impact Model Intercomparison Project ensemble (2014)
Journal Article
Dankers, R., Arnell, N. W., Clark, D. B., Falloon, P. D., Fekete, B. M., Gosling, S. N., Heinke, J., Kim, H., Masaki, Y., Satoh, Y., Stacke, T., Wada, Y., & Wisser, D. (2014). First look at changes in flood hazard in the Inter-Sectoral Impact Model Intercomparison Project ensemble. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, 111(9), 3257-3261. https://doi.org/10.1073/pnas.1302078110

Climate change due to anthropogenic greenhouse gas emissions is expected to increase the frequency and intensity of precipitation events, which is likely to affect the probability of flooding into the future. In this paper we use river flow simulatio... Read More about First look at changes in flood hazard in the Inter-Sectoral Impact Model Intercomparison Project ensemble.

A glossary for biometeorology (2014)
Journal Article
Gosling, S. N., Bryce, E. K., Dixon, P. G., Gabriel, K. M., Gosling, E. Y., Hanes, J. M., Hondula, D. M., Liang, L., Mac Lean, P. A. B., Muthers, S., Nascimento, S. T., Petralli, M., Vanos, J. K., & Wanka, E. R. (2014). A glossary for biometeorology. International Journal of Biometeorology, 58(2), https://doi.org/10.1007/s00484-013-0729-9

Here we present, for the first time, a glossary of biometeorological terms. The glossary aims to address the need for a reliable source of biometeorological definitions, thereby facilitating communication and mutual understanding in this rapidly expa... Read More about A glossary for biometeorology.

Global-scale climate impact functions: the relationship between climate forcing and impact (2014)
Journal Article
Arnell, N., Brown, S., Gosling, S. N., Hinkel, J., Huntingford, C., Lloyd-Hughes, B., Lowe, J., Osborn, T., Nicholls, R., & Zelazowski, P. (2016). Global-scale climate impact functions: the relationship between climate forcing and impact. Climatic Change, 134(3), 475-487. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10584-013-1034-7

Although there is a strong policy interest in the impacts of climate change corresponding to different degrees of climate change, there is so far little consistent empirical evidence of the relationship between climate forcing and impact. This is bec... Read More about Global-scale climate impact functions: the relationship between climate forcing and impact.

Multimodel assessment of water scarcity under climate change (2013)
Journal Article
Schewe, J., Heinke, J., Gerten, D., Haddeland, I., Arnell, N. W., Clark, D. B., Dankers, R., Eisner, S., Fekete, B. M., Colón-González, F. J., Gosling, S. N., Kim, H., Liu, X., Masaki, Y., Portmann, F. T., Satoh, Y., Stacke, T., Tang, Q., Wada, Y., Wisser, D., …Kabat, P. (2014). Multimodel assessment of water scarcity under climate change. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, 111(9), 3245-3250. https://doi.org/10.1073/pnas.1222460110

Water scarcity severely impairs food security and economic prosperity in many countries today. Expected future population changes will, in many countries as well as globally, increase the pressure on available water resources. On the supply side, ren... Read More about Multimodel assessment of water scarcity under climate change.

Constraints and potentials of future irrigation water availability on agricultural production under climate change (2013)
Journal Article
Elliott, J., Deryng, D., Müller, C., Frieler, K., Konzmann, M., Gerten, D., Glotter, M., Flörke, M., Wada, Y., Best, N., Eisner, S., Fekete, B. M., Folberth, C., Foster, I., Gosling, S. N., Haddeland, I., Khabarov, N., Ludwig, F., Masaki, Y., Olin, S., …Wisser, D. (2014). Constraints and potentials of future irrigation water availability on agricultural production under climate change. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, 111(9), 3239-3244. https://doi.org/10.1073/pnas.1222474110

We compare ensembles of water supply and demand projections from 10 global hydrological models and six global gridded crop models. These are produced as part of the Inter-Sectoral Impacts Model Intercomparison Project, with coordination from the Agri... Read More about Constraints and potentials of future irrigation water availability on agricultural production under climate change.

Multisectoral climate impact hotspots in a warming world (2013)
Journal Article
Piontek, F., Müller, C., Pugh, T. A., Clark, D. B., Deryng, D., Elliott, J., De Jesus Colón González, F., Flörke, M., Folberth, C., Franssen, W., Frieler, K., Friend, A. D., Gosling, S. N., Hemming, D., Khabarov, N., Kim, H., Lomas, M. R., Masaki, Y., Mengel, M., Morse, A., …Schellnhuber, H. J. (2014). Multisectoral climate impact hotspots in a warming world. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, 111(9), 3233-3238. https://doi.org/10.1073/pnas.1222471110

The impacts of global climate change on different aspects of humanity's diverse life-support systems are complex and often difficult to predict. To facilitate policy decisions on mitigation and adaptation strategies, it is necessary to understand, qu... Read More about Multisectoral climate impact hotspots in a warming world.

Global multimodel analysis of drought in runofffor the second half of the twentieth century (2013)
Journal Article
van Huijgevoort, M., Hazenberg, P., van Lanen, H., Teuling, A., Clark, D., Folwell, S., Gosling, S., Hanasaki, N., Heinke, J., Koirala, S., Stacke, T., Voss, F., Sheffield, J., & Uijlenhoet, R. (2013). Global multimodel analysis of drought in runofffor the second half of the twentieth century. Journal of Hydrometeorology, 14(5), 1535-1552. https://doi.org/10.1175/JHM-D-12-0186.1

During the past decades large-scale models have been developed to simulate global and continental terrestrial water cycles. It is an open question whether these models are suitable to capture hydrological drought, in terms of runoff, on a global scal... Read More about Global multimodel analysis of drought in runofffor the second half of the twentieth century.

Supplementary material to "Comparing projections of future changes in runoff and water resources from hydrological and ecosystem models in ISI-MIP" (2013)
Other
Davie, J. C. S., Falloon, P. D., Kahana, R., Dankers, R., Betts, R., Portmann, F. T., Clark, D. B., Itoh, A., Masaki, Y., Nishina, K., Fekete, B., Tessler, Z., Liu, X., Tang, Q., Hagemann, S., Stacke, T., Pavlick, R., Schaphoff, S., Gosling, S. N., Franssen, W., & Arnell, N. (2013). Supplementary material to "Comparing projections of future changes in runoff and water resources from hydrological and ecosystem models in ISI-MIP"

Global multimodel analysis of drought in runoff for the second half of the twentieth century (2013)
Journal Article
Van Huijgevoort, M. H., Hazenberg, P., Van Lanen, H. A., Teuling, A. J., Clark, D. B., Folwell, S., Gosling, S. N., Hanasaki, N., Heinke, J., Koirala, S., Stacke, T., Voss, F., Sheffield, J., & Uijlenhoet, R. (2013). Global multimodel analysis of drought in runoff for the second half of the twentieth century. Journal of Hydrometeorology, 14(5), 1535-1552. https://doi.org/10.1175/JHM-D-12-0186.1

During the past decades large-scale models have been developed to simulate global and continental terrestrial water cycles. It is an open question whether thesemodels are suitable to capture hydrological drought, in terms of runoff, on a global scale... Read More about Global multimodel analysis of drought in runoff for the second half of the twentieth century.