Outputs (84)

Cross‐scale intercomparison of climate change impacts simulated by regional and global hydrological models in eleven large river basins (2017)
Journal Article
Hattermann, F., Krysanova, V., Gosling, S. N., Dankers, R., Daggupati, P., Donnelly, C., Flörke, M., Huang, S., Motovilov, Y., Buda, S., Yang, T., Müller, C., Leng, G., Tang, Q., Portmann, F., Hagemann, S., Gerten, D., Wada, Y., Masaki, Y., Alemayehu, T., …Samaniego, L. (2017). Cross‐scale intercomparison of climate change impacts simulated by regional and global hydrological models in eleven large river basins. Climatic Change, 141(3), 561-576. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10584-016-1829-4

Ideally, the results from models operating at different scales should agree in trend direction and magnitude of impacts under climate change. However, this implies that the sensitivity to climate variability and climate change is comparable for impac... Read More about Cross‐scale intercomparison of climate change impacts simulated by regional and global hydrological models in eleven large river basins.

Erratum to: A comparison of changes in river runoff from multiple global and catchment-scale hydrological models under global warming scenarios of 1 °C, 2 °C and 3 °C (Climatic Change, 10.1007/s10584-016-1773-3) (2016)
Journal Article
Gosling, S. N., Zaherpour, J., Mount, N. J., Hattermann, F. F., Dankers, R., Arheimer, B., Breuer, L., Ding, J., Haddeland, I., Kumar, R., Kundu, D., Liu, J., van Griensven, A., Veldkamp, T. I., Vetter, T., Wang, X., & Zhang, X. (2017). Erratum to: A comparison of changes in river runoff from multiple global and catchment-scale hydrological models under global warming scenarios of 1 °C, 2 °C and 3 °C (Climatic Change, 10.1007/s10584-016-1773-3). Climatic Change, 141(3), 597-598. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10584-016-1855-2

In the initial online publication, a middle initial “J.” was added to the name of second author Jamal Zaherpour. This middle initial should not be there. The original publication has now been corrected as well.

Towards a comprehensive climate impacts assessment of solar geoengineering (2016)
Journal Article
Irvine, P. J., Kravitz, B., Lawrence, M. G., Gerten, D., Caminade, C., Gosling, S. N., Hendy, E., Kassie, B., Kissling, W. D., Muri, H., Oschlies, A., & Smith, S. J. (2017). Towards a comprehensive climate impacts assessment of solar geoengineering. Earth's Future, 5(1), 93-106. https://doi.org/10.1002/2016EF000389

Despite a growing literature on the climate response to solar geoengineering – proposals to cool the planet by increasing the planetary albedo – there has been little published on the impacts of solar geoengineering on natural and human systems such... Read More about Towards a comprehensive climate impacts assessment of solar geoengineering.

A comparison of changes in river runoff from multiple global and catchment-scale hydrological models under global warming scenarios of 1°C, 2°C and 3°C (2016)
Journal Article
Gosling, S., Zaherpour, J., Mount, N. J., Hattermann, F., Dankers, R., Arheimer, B., Breuer, L., Ding, J., Haddeland, I., Kumar, R., Kundu, D., Liu, J., van Griensven, A., Veldkamp, T., Vetter, T., Wang, X., & Zhang, X. (in press). A comparison of changes in river runoff from multiple global and catchment-scale hydrological models under global warming scenarios of 1°C, 2°C and 3°C. Climatic Change, https://doi.org/10.1007/s10584-016-1773-3

We present one of the first climate change impact assessments on river runoff that utilises an ensemble of global hydrological models (Glob-HMs) and an ensemble of catchment-scale hydrological models (Cat-HMs), across multiple catchments: the upper A... Read More about A comparison of changes in river runoff from multiple global and catchment-scale hydrological models under global warming scenarios of 1°C, 2°C and 3°C.

Perspectives on the Synoptic Climate Classification and its Role in Interdisciplinary Research (2016)
Journal Article
Dixon, P. G., Allen, M., Gosling, S. N., Hondula, D. M., Ingole, V., Lucas, R., & Vanos, J. K. (2016). Perspectives on the Synoptic Climate Classification and its Role in Interdisciplinary Research. Geography Compass, 10(4), 147-164. https://doi.org/10.1111/gec3.12264

© 2016 John Wiley & Sons Ltd. Synoptic climatology has a long history of research where weather data are aggregated and composited to gain a better understanding of atmospheric effects on non-atmospheric variables. This has resulted in an applied s... Read More about Perspectives on the Synoptic Climate Classification and its Role in Interdisciplinary Research.

Enhancing the spatial resolution of satellite-derived land surface temperature mapping for urban areas (2015)
Journal Article
Feng, X., Foody, G., Aplin, P., & Gosling, S. (2015). Enhancing the spatial resolution of satellite-derived land surface temperature mapping for urban areas. Sustainable Cities and Society, 19, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.scs.2015.04.007

Land surface temperature (LST) is an important environmental variable for urban studies such as those focused on the urban heat island (UHI). Though satellite-derived LST could be a useful complement to traditional LST data sources, the spatial resol... Read More about Enhancing the spatial resolution of satellite-derived land surface temperature mapping for urban areas.

A framework for the cross-sectoral integration of multi-model impact projections: land use decisions under climate impacts uncertainties (2015)
Journal Article
Frieler, K., Levermann, A., Elliott, J., Heinke, J., Arneth, A., Bierkens, M., Ciais, P., Clark, D., Deryng, D., Doll, P., Falloon, P., Fekete, B., Folberth, C., Friend, A., Gelhorn, C., Gosling, S. N., Haddeland, I., Khabarov, N., Lomas, M., Masaki, Y., …Schellnhuber, H. (2015). A framework for the cross-sectoral integration of multi-model impact projections: land use decisions under climate impacts uncertainties. Earth System Dynamics, 6(2), 447-460. https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-6-447-2015

Climate change and its impacts already pose considerable challenges for societies that will further increase with global warming (IPCC, 2014a, b). Uncertainties of the climatic response to greenhouse gas emissions include the potential passing of lar... Read More about A framework for the cross-sectoral integration of multi-model impact projections: land use decisions under climate impacts uncertainties.

Supplementary material to "The relevance of uncertainty in future crop production for mitigation strategy planning" (2014)
Other
Frieler, K., Levermann, A., Elliott, J., Heinke, J., Arneth, A., Bierkens, M. F. P., Ciais, P., Clark, D. B., Deryng, D., Döll, P., Falloon, P., Fekete, B., Folberth, C., Friend, A. D., Gellhorn, C., Gosling, S. N., Haddeland, I., Khabarov, N., Lomas, M., Masaki, Y., …Schellnhuber, H. J. (2014). Supplementary material to "The relevance of uncertainty in future crop production for mitigation strategy planning"

The impacts of climate change on river flood risk at the global scale (2014)
Journal Article
Arnell, N., & Gosling, S. N. (2016). The impacts of climate change on river flood risk at the global scale. Climatic Change, 134(3), 387-401. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10584-014-1084-5

This paper presents an assessment of the implications of climate change for global river flood risk. It is based on the estimation of flood frequency relationships at a grid resolution of 0.5×0.5°, using a global hydrological model with climate scena... Read More about The impacts of climate change on river flood risk at the global scale.

First look at changes in flood hazard in the Inter-Sectoral Impact Model Intercomparison Project ensemble (2014)
Journal Article
Dankers, R., Arnell, N. W., Clark, D. B., Falloon, P. D., Fekete, B. M., Gosling, S. N., Heinke, J., Kim, H., Masaki, Y., Satoh, Y., Stacke, T., Wada, Y., & Wisser, D. (2014). First look at changes in flood hazard in the Inter-Sectoral Impact Model Intercomparison Project ensemble. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, 111(9), 3257-3261. https://doi.org/10.1073/pnas.1302078110

Climate change due to anthropogenic greenhouse gas emissions is expected to increase the frequency and intensity of precipitation events, which is likely to affect the probability of flooding into the future. In this paper we use river flow simulatio... Read More about First look at changes in flood hazard in the Inter-Sectoral Impact Model Intercomparison Project ensemble.