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Outputs (12)

Increasing Risk of Ecological Change to Major Rivers of the World With Global Warming (2021)
Journal Article
Thompson, J. R., Gosling, S. N., Zaherpour, J., & Laizé, C. L. R. (2021). Increasing Risk of Ecological Change to Major Rivers of the World With Global Warming. Earth's Future, 9(11), Article e2021EF002048. https://doi.org/10.1029/2021EF002048

The hydrological characteristics of a river, including the magnitude and timing of high and low flows, are important determinants of its ecological functioning. Climate change will alter these characteristics, triggering ecological changes in river e... Read More about Increasing Risk of Ecological Change to Major Rivers of the World With Global Warming.

Intergenerational inequities in exposure to climate extremes (2021)
Journal Article
Thiery, W., Lange, S., Rogelj, J., Schleussner, C. F., Gudmundsson, L., Seneviratne, S. I., Andrijevic, M., Frieler, K., Emanuel, K., Geiger, T., Bresch, D. N., Zhao, F., Willner, S. N., Büchner, M., Volkholz, J., Bauer, N., Chang, J., Ciais, P., Dury, M., François, L., …Wada, Y. (2021). Intergenerational inequities in exposure to climate extremes. Science, 374(6564), 158-160. https://doi.org/10.1126/science.abi7339

Under continued global warming, extreme events such as heat waves will continue to rise in frequency, intensity, duration, and spatial extent over the next decades (1–4). Younger generations are therefore expected to face more such events across thei... Read More about Intergenerational inequities in exposure to climate extremes.

Validity of estimating flood and drought characteristics under equilibrium climates from transient simulations (2021)
Journal Article
Boulange, J., Hanasaki, N., Satoh, Y., Yokohata, T., Shiogama, H., Burek, P., Thiery, W., Gerten, D., Müller Schmied, H., Wada, Y., Gosling, S. N., Pokhrel, Y., & Wanders, N. (2021). Validity of estimating flood and drought characteristics under equilibrium climates from transient simulations. Environmental Research Letters, 16(10), Article 104028. https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/ac27cc

Future flood and drought risks have been predicted to transition from moderate to high levels at global warmings of 1.5°C and 2.0°C above pre-industrial levels, respectively. However, these results were obtained by approximating the equilibrium clima... Read More about Validity of estimating flood and drought characteristics under equilibrium climates from transient simulations.

A quantitative evaluation of the issue of drought definition: A source of disagreement in future drought assessments (2021)
Journal Article
Satoh, Y., Shiogama, H., Hanasaki, N., Pokhrel, Y., Boulange, J. E. S., Burek, P., Gosling, S. N., Grillakis, M., Koutroulis, A., Müller Schmied, H., Thiery, W., & Yokohata, T. (2021). A quantitative evaluation of the issue of drought definition: A source of disagreement in future drought assessments. Environmental Research Letters, 16(10), 1-13. https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/ac2348

Droughts are anticipated to intensify in many parts of the world due to climate change. However, the issue of drought definition, namely the diversity of drought indices, makes it difficult to compare drought assessments. This issue is widely known,... Read More about A quantitative evaluation of the issue of drought definition: A source of disagreement in future drought assessments.

Understanding each other’s models: an introduction and a standard representation of 16 global water models to support intercomparison, improvement, and communication (2021)
Journal Article
Telteu, C. E., Müller Schmied, H., Thiery, W., Leng, G., Burek, P., Liu, X., Boulange, J. E. S., Andersen, L. S., Grillakis, M., Gosling, S. N., Satoh, Y., Rakovec, O., Stacke, T., Chang, J., Wanders, N., Shah, H. L., Trautmann, T., Mao, G., Hanasaki, N., Koutroulis, A., …Herz, F. (2021). Understanding each other’s models: an introduction and a standard representation of 16 global water models to support intercomparison, improvement, and communication. Geoscientific Model Development, 14(6), 3843-3878. https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-14-3843-2021

Global water models (GWMs) simulate the terrestrial water cycle on the global scale and are used to assess the impacts of climate change on freshwater systems. GWMs are developed within different modelling frameworks and consider different underlying... Read More about Understanding each other’s models: an introduction and a standard representation of 16 global water models to support intercomparison, improvement, and communication.

Globally observed trends in mean and extreme river flow attributed to climate change (2021)
Journal Article
Gudmundsson, L., Boulange, J., Do, H. X., Gosling, S. N., Grillakis, M. G., Koutroulis, A. G., Leonard, M., Liu, J., Schmied, H. M., Papadimitriou, L., Pokhrel, Y., Seneviratne, S. I., Satoh, Y., Thiery, W., Westra, S., Zhang, X., & Zhao, F. (2021). Globally observed trends in mean and extreme river flow attributed to climate change. Science, 371(6534), 1159-1162. https://doi.org/10.1126/science.aba3996

Anthropogenic climate change is expected to affect global river flow. Here, we analyze time series of low, mean, and high river flows from 7250 observatories around the world covering the years 1971 to 2010. We identify spatially complex trend patter... Read More about Globally observed trends in mean and extreme river flow attributed to climate change.

Uncertainty of simulated groundwater recharge at different global warming levels: A global-scale multi-model ensemble study (2021)
Journal Article
Reinecke, R., Müller Schmied, H., Trautmann, T., Seaby Andersen, L., Burek, P., Flörke, M., Gosling, S. N., Grillakis, M., Hanasaki, N., Koutroulis, A., Pokhrel, Y., Thiery, W., Wada, Y., Yusuke, S., & Döll, P. (2021). Uncertainty of simulated groundwater recharge at different global warming levels: A global-scale multi-model ensemble study. Hydrology and Earth System Sciences, 25(2), 787-810. https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-25-787-2021

Billions of people rely on groundwater as being an accessible source of drinking water and for irrigation, especially in times of drought. Its importance will likely increase with a changing climate. It is still unclear, however, how climate change w... Read More about Uncertainty of simulated groundwater recharge at different global warming levels: A global-scale multi-model ensemble study.

Uncertainty of simulated groundwater recharge at different global warming levels: a global-scale multi-model ensemble study (2021)
Journal Article
Reinecke, R., Schmied, H., Trautmann, T., Andersen, L. S., Burek, P., Flörke, M., Gosling, S. N., Grillakis, M., Hanasaki, N., Koutroulis, A., Pokhrel, Y., Thiery, W., Wada, Y., Yusuke, S., & Döll, P. (2021). Uncertainty of simulated groundwater recharge at different global warming levels: a global-scale multi-model ensemble study. Hydrology and Earth System Sciences, 25(2), 787-810. https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-25-787-2021

Billions of people rely on groundwater as being an accessible source of drinking water and for irrigation, especially in times of drought. Its importance will likely increase with a changing climate. It is still unclear, however, how climate change w... Read More about Uncertainty of simulated groundwater recharge at different global warming levels: a global-scale multi-model ensemble study.