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Bayes Factors for Partially Observed Stochastic Epidemic Models (2018)
Journal Article
Alharthi, M., Kypraios, T., & O'Neill, P. D. (2019). Bayes Factors for Partially Observed Stochastic Epidemic Models. Bayesian Analysis, 14(3), 927-956. https://doi.org/10.1214/18-BA1134

We consider the problem of model choice for stochastic epidemic models given partial observation of a disease outbreak through time. Our main focus is on the use of Bayes factors. Although Bayes factors have appeared in the epidemic modelling literat... Read More about Bayes Factors for Partially Observed Stochastic Epidemic Models.

Bayesian nonparametrics for stochastic epidemic models (2018)
Journal Article
Kypraios, T., & O'Neill, P. D. (2018). Bayesian nonparametrics for stochastic epidemic models. Statistical Science, 33(1), https://doi.org/10.1214/17-STS617

The vast majority of models for the spread of communicable diseases are parametric in nature and involve underlying assumptions about how the disease spreads through a population. In this article we consider the use of Bayesian nonparametric approach... Read More about Bayesian nonparametrics for stochastic epidemic models.