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Multimodel estimate of the global terrestrial water balance: Setup and first results (2011)
Journal Article
Haddeland, I., Clark, D. B., Franssen, W., Ludwig, F., Voß, F., Arnell, N. W., …Yeh, P. (2011). Multimodel estimate of the global terrestrial water balance: Setup and first results. Journal of Hydrometeorology, 12(5), 869-884. https://doi.org/10.1175/2011JHM1324.1

Six land surface models and five global hydrological models participate in a model intercomparison project [WaterModel Intercomparison Project (WaterMIP)], which for the first time compares simulation results of these different classes of models in a... Read More about Multimodel estimate of the global terrestrial water balance: Setup and first results.

The benefits of quantifying climate model uncertainty in climate change impacts assessment: An example with heat-related mortality change estimates (2011)
Journal Article
Gosling, S. N., McGregor, G. R., & Lowe, J. A. (2012). The benefits of quantifying climate model uncertainty in climate change impacts assessment: An example with heat-related mortality change estimates. Climatic Change, 112(2), 217-231. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10584-011-0211-9

The majority of climate change impacts assessments account for climate change uncertainty by adopting the scenario-based approach. This typically involves assessing the impacts for a small number of emissions scenarios but neglecting the role of clim... Read More about The benefits of quantifying climate model uncertainty in climate change impacts assessment: An example with heat-related mortality change estimates.

A review of recent developments in climate change science. Part II: The global-scale impacts of climate change (2011)
Journal Article
Gosling, S. N., Warren, R., Arnell, N. W., Good, P., Caesar, J., Bernie, D., …Smith, S. M. (2011). A review of recent developments in climate change science. Part II: The global-scale impacts of climate change. Progress in Physical Geography, 35(4), 443-464. https://doi.org/10.1177/0309133311407650

This article presents a review of recent developments in studies assessing the global-scale impacts of climate change published since the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) Fourth Assessment Report (AR4). Literature covering six main im... Read More about A review of recent developments in climate change science. Part II: The global-scale impacts of climate change.

A review of recent developments in climate change science. Part I: Understanding of future change in the large-scale climate system (2011)
Journal Article
Good, P., Caesar, J., Bernie, D., Lowe, J. A., van der Linden, P., Gosling, S. N., …McNeall, D. (2011). A review of recent developments in climate change science. Part I: Understanding of future change in the large-scale climate system. Progress in Physical Geography, 35(3), 281-296. https://doi.org/10.1177/0309133311407651

This article reviews some of the major lines of recent scientific progress relevant to the choice of global climate policy targets, focusing on changes in understanding since publication of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change Fourth Assessm... Read More about A review of recent developments in climate change science. Part I: Understanding of future change in the large-scale climate system.

Simulating current global river runoff with a global hydrological model: Model revisions, validation, and sensitivity analysis (2011)
Journal Article
Gosling, S. N., & Arnell, N. W. (2011). Simulating current global river runoff with a global hydrological model: Model revisions, validation, and sensitivity analysis. Hydrological Processes, 25(7), 1129-1145. https://doi.org/10.1002/hyp.7727

Global hydrological models (GHMs) model the land surface hydrologic dynamics of continental-scale river basins. Here we describe one such GHM, the Macro-scale-Probability-Distributed Moisture model.09 (Mac-PDM.09). The model has undergone a number of... Read More about Simulating current global river runoff with a global hydrological model: Model revisions, validation, and sensitivity analysis.