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Seasonality of Holocene hydroclimate in the Eastern Mediterranean reconstructed using the oxygen isotope composition of carbonates and diatoms from Lake Nar, central Turkey (2017)
Journal Article
Dean, J. R., Jones, M. D., Leng, M. J., Metcalfe, S. E., Sloane, H. J., Eastwood, W. J., & Roberts, C. N. (2018). Seasonality of Holocene hydroclimate in the Eastern Mediterranean reconstructed using the oxygen isotope composition of carbonates and diatoms from Lake Nar, central Turkey. Holocene, 28(2), https://doi.org/10.1177/0959683617721326

A positive shift in the oxygen isotope composition (?18O) of lake carbonates in the Eastern Mediterranean from the early to late Holocene is usually interpreted as a change to drier (reduced P/E) conditions. However, it has also been suggested that c... Read More about Seasonality of Holocene hydroclimate in the Eastern Mediterranean reconstructed using the oxygen isotope composition of carbonates and diatoms from Lake Nar, central Turkey.

An analysis of the likely success of policy actions under uncertainty: recovery from acidification across Great Britain (2017)
Journal Article
Whyatt, J. D., Metcalfe, S. E., Derwent, R. G., & Page, T. (2017). An analysis of the likely success of policy actions under uncertainty: recovery from acidification across Great Britain. Environmental Science and Policy, 73, 124-132. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.envsci.2017.03.007

In the context of wider debates about the role of uncertainty in environmental science and the development of environmental policy, we use a Generalised Likelihood Uncertainty Estimate (GLUE) approach to address the uncertainty in both acid depositio... Read More about An analysis of the likely success of policy actions under uncertainty: recovery from acidification across Great Britain.

Climatic variability over the last 30?000 years recorded in La Piscina de Yuriria, a Central Mexican crater lake (2016)
Journal Article
Holmes, J., Metcalfe, S. E., Jones, H. L., & Marshall, J. D. (2016). Climatic variability over the last 30?000 years recorded in La Piscina de Yuriria, a Central Mexican crater lake. Journal of Quaternary Science, 31(4), 310-324. https://doi.org/10.1002/jqs.2846

The Trans-Mexican Volcanic Belt provides an excellent setting for reconstruction of late Quaternary climate from different natural archives. Moreover human impact on the landscape since the mid Holocene provides a good opportunity to investigate the... Read More about Climatic variability over the last 30?000 years recorded in La Piscina de Yuriria, a Central Mexican crater lake.

Early- Mid Pleistocene environments in the Valsequillo Basin, Central Mexico: a reassessment (2016)
Journal Article
Metcalfe, S. E., Leng, M. J., Kirby, J. R., Huddart, D., Vane, C. H., & Gonzalez, S. (2016). Early- Mid Pleistocene environments in the Valsequillo Basin, Central Mexico: a reassessment. Journal of Quaternary Science, 31(4), https://doi.org/10.1002/jqs.2851

The Valsequillo Basin in Central Mexico has been of interest due to the presence of megafauna and evidence for early human occupation, but research has been controversial. It has been suggested that extensive and deep lakes characterised the Early Pl... Read More about Early- Mid Pleistocene environments in the Valsequillo Basin, Central Mexico: a reassessment.

A tale of two lakes: a multi-proxy comparison of Lateglacial and Holocene environmental change in Cappadocia, Turkey (2016)
Journal Article
Roberts, N., Allcock, S. L., Arnaud, F., Dean, J. R., Eastwood, W. J., Jones, M. D., …Yiğitbaşıoğlu, H. (2016). A tale of two lakes: a multi-proxy comparison of Lateglacial and Holocene environmental change in Cappadocia, Turkey. Journal of Quaternary Science, 31(4), https://doi.org/10.1002/jqs.2852

Individual palaeoenvironmental records represent a combination of regional-scale (e.g. climatic) and site-specific local factors. Here we compare multiple climate proxies from two nearby maar lake records, assuming that common signals are due to regi... Read More about A tale of two lakes: a multi-proxy comparison of Lateglacial and Holocene environmental change in Cappadocia, Turkey.

Evaluation of the performance of different atmospheric chemical transport models and inter-comparison of nitrogen and sulphur deposition estimates for the UK (2015)
Journal Article
Dore, A. J., Metcalfe, S., Carslaw, D. C., Braban, C., Cain, M., Chemel, C., …Whyatt, J. D. (2015). Evaluation of the performance of different atmospheric chemical transport models and inter-comparison of nitrogen and sulphur deposition estimates for the UK. Atmospheric Environment, 119, 131-143. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.atmosenv.2015.08.008

An evaluation has been made of a number of contrasting atmospheric chemical transport models, of varying complexity, applied to estimate sulphur and nitrogen deposition in the UK. The models were evaluated by comparison with annually averaged measure... Read More about Evaluation of the performance of different atmospheric chemical transport models and inter-comparison of nitrogen and sulphur deposition estimates for the UK.

Eastern Mediterranean hydroclimate over the late glacial and Holocene, reconstructed from the sediments of Nar lake, central Turkey, using stable isotopes and carbonate mineralogy (2015)
Journal Article
Dean, J. R., Jones, M. D., Leng, M. J., Noble, S. R., Metcalfe, S. E., Sloane, H. J., …Roberts, C. N. (2015). Eastern Mediterranean hydroclimate over the late glacial and Holocene, reconstructed from the sediments of Nar lake, central Turkey, using stable isotopes and carbonate mineralogy. Quaternary Science Reviews, 124, 162-174. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.quascirev.2015.07.023

There is a lack of high-resolution records of hydroclimate variability in the Eastern Mediterranean from the late glacial and early Holocene. More knowledge of the speed of climate shifts and the degree to which they were synchronous with changes in... Read More about Eastern Mediterranean hydroclimate over the late glacial and Holocene, reconstructed from the sediments of Nar lake, central Turkey, using stable isotopes and carbonate mineralogy.

Late Holocene climate reorganisation and the North American Monsoon (2015)
Journal Article
Jones, M. D., Metcalfe, S. E., Davies, S. J., & Noren, A. (2015). Late Holocene climate reorganisation and the North American Monsoon. Quaternary Science Reviews, 124, Article 290-295. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.quascirev.2015.07.004

The North America Monsoon (NAM) provides the majority of rainfall for central and northern Mexico as well as parts of the south west USA. The controls over the strength of the NAM in a given year are complex, and include both Pacific and Atlantic sys... Read More about Late Holocene climate reorganisation and the North American Monsoon.

Human impact on the hydroenvironment of Lake Parishan, SW Iran, through the late-Holocene (2015)
Journal Article
Jones, M. D., Djamali, M., Holmes, J., Weeks, L., Leng, M. J., Lashkari, A., …Metcalfe, S. E. (2015). Human impact on the hydroenvironment of Lake Parishan, SW Iran, through the late-Holocene. Holocene, 25(10), 1651-1661. https://doi.org/10.1177/0959683615594242

A multiproxy record from Lake Parishan, SW Iran, shows human impact on the lake and its catchment over the last 4000 years. The Parishan record provides evidence of changes in lake hydrology, from ostracod, diatom and isotope analyses, that are direc... Read More about Human impact on the hydroenvironment of Lake Parishan, SW Iran, through the late-Holocene.

The Holocene history of the North American Monsoon: 'known knowns' and 'known unknowns' in understanding its spatial and temporal complexity (2015)
Journal Article
Metcalfe, S. E., Barron, J., & Davies, S. (in press). The Holocene history of the North American Monsoon: 'known knowns' and 'known unknowns' in understanding its spatial and temporal complexity. Quaternary Science Reviews, 120, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.quascirev.2015.04.004

Evidence for climatic change across the North American Monsoon (NAM) and adjacent areas is reviewed, drawing on continental and marine records and the application of climate models. Patterns of change at 12,000, 9000, 6000 and 4000 cal yr BP are pre... Read More about The Holocene history of the North American Monsoon: 'known knowns' and 'known unknowns' in understanding its spatial and temporal complexity.

Tracking the hydro-climatic signal from lake to sediment: a field study from central Turkey (2014)
Journal Article
Dean, J. R., Eastwood, W. J., Roberts, N., Jones, M. D., Yiğitbaşıoğlu, H., Allcock, S. L., …Leng, M. J. (2015). Tracking the hydro-climatic signal from lake to sediment: a field study from central Turkey. Journal of Hydrology, 529(2), 608-621. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jhydrol.2014.11.004

Palaeo-hydrological interpretations of lake sediment proxies can benefit from a robust understanding of the modern lake environment. In this study, we use Nar Gölü, a non-outlet, monomictic maar lake in central Turkey, as a field site for a natural e... Read More about Tracking the hydro-climatic signal from lake to sediment: a field study from central Turkey.

Hydrology and climatology at Laguna La Gaiba, lowland Bolivia: complex responses to climatic forcings over the last 25,000 years (2014)
Journal Article
Metcalfe, S., Whitney, B., Fitzpatrick, K., Mayle, F., Loader, N., Street-Perrott, F., & Mann, D. (2014). Hydrology and climatology at Laguna La Gaiba, lowland Bolivia: complex responses to climatic forcings over the last 25,000 years. Journal of Quaternary Science, 29(3), https://doi.org/10.1002/jqs.2702

Diatom, geochemical and isotopic data provide a record of environmental change in Laguna La Gaiba, lowland Bolivia, over the last ca. 25 000 years. High-resolution diatom analysis around the last glacial–interglacial transition provides new insights... Read More about Hydrology and climatology at Laguna La Gaiba, lowland Bolivia: complex responses to climatic forcings over the last 25,000 years.

Holocene-aged human footprints from the Cuatrociénegas Basin, NE Mexico (2013)
Journal Article
Felstead, N. J., Gonzalez, S., Huddart, D., Noble, S. R., Hoffmann, D. L., Metcalfe, S. E., …Jimenez-Lopez, J. C. (2014). Holocene-aged human footprints from the Cuatrociénegas Basin, NE Mexico. Journal of Archaeological Science, 42, 250-259. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jas.2013.11.010

Two sets of well-preserved human footprints have been found in tufa sediments in the Cuatrociénegas Basin, NE Mexico, and here we present their U-series dates of 10.55±0.03ka and 7.24±0.13ka. The former are the oldest known footprints in Mexico, alth... Read More about Holocene-aged human footprints from the Cuatrociénegas Basin, NE Mexico.

Documentary-derived chronologies of rainfall variability in Antigua, Lesser Antilles, 1770–1890 (2013)
Journal Article
Berland, A., Metcalfe, S., & Endfield, G. (2013). Documentary-derived chronologies of rainfall variability in Antigua, Lesser Antilles, 1770–1890. Climate of the Past, 9(3), https://doi.org/10.5194/cp-9-1331-2013

This paper presents the first extensive reconstruction of precipitation variability in the Lesser Antilles using historical documentary sources. Over 13 250 items of documentation pertaining to Antigua from the period 1769–1890 were consulted, includ... Read More about Documentary-derived chronologies of rainfall variability in Antigua, Lesser Antilles, 1770–1890.