Jessica Enright
SARS-CoV-2 infection in UK university students: Lessons from September-December 2020 and modelling insights for future student return
Enright, Jessica; Hill, Edward M.; Stage, Helena B.; Bolton, Kirsty J.; Nixon, Emily J.; Fairbanks, Emma L.; Tang, Maria L.; Brooks-Pollock, Ellen; Dyson, Louise; Budd, Chris J.; Hoyle, Rebecca B.; Schewe, Lars; Gog, Julia R.; Tildesley, Michael J.
Authors
Edward M. Hill
Helena B. Stage
KIRSTY BOLTON Kirsty.Bolton@nottingham.ac.uk
Assistant Professor
Emily J. Nixon
Emma L. Fairbanks
Maria L. Tang
Ellen Brooks-Pollock
Louise Dyson
Chris J. Budd
Rebecca B. Hoyle
Lars Schewe
Julia R. Gog
Michael J. Tildesley
Abstract
In this paper, we present work on SARS-CoV-2 transmission in UK higher education settings using multiple approaches to assess the extent of university outbreaks, how much those outbreaks may have led to spillover in the community, and the expected effects of control measures. Firstly, we found that the distribution of outbreaks in universities in late 2020 was consistent with the expected importation of infection from arriving students. Considering outbreaks at one university, larger halls of residence posed higher risks for transmission. The dynamics of transmission from university outbreaks to wider communities is complex, and while sometimes spillover does occur, occasionally even large outbreaks do not give any detectable signal of spillover to the local population. Secondly, we explored proposed control measures for reopening and keeping open universities. We found the proposal of staggering the return of students to university residence is of limited value in terms of reducing transmission. We show that student adherence to testing and self-isolation is likely to be much more important for reducing transmission during term time. Finally, we explored strategies for testing students in the context of a more transmissible variant and found that frequent testing would be necessary to prevent a major outbreak.
Citation
Enright, J., Hill, E. M., Stage, H. B., Bolton, K. J., Nixon, E. J., Fairbanks, E. L., …Tildesley, M. J. (2021). SARS-CoV-2 infection in UK university students: Lessons from September-December 2020 and modelling insights for future student return. Royal Society Open Science, 8(8), Article 210310. https://doi.org/10.1098/rsos.210310
Journal Article Type | Article |
---|---|
Acceptance Date | Jul 16, 2021 |
Online Publication Date | Aug 4, 2021 |
Publication Date | Aug 1, 2021 |
Deposit Date | Sep 24, 2021 |
Publicly Available Date | Sep 24, 2021 |
Journal | Royal Society Open Science |
Electronic ISSN | 2054-5703 |
Publisher | The Royal Society |
Peer Reviewed | Peer Reviewed |
Volume | 8 |
Issue | 8 |
Article Number | 210310 |
DOI | https://doi.org/10.1098/rsos.210310 |
Keywords | Multidisciplinary |
Public URL | https://nottingham-repository.worktribe.com/output/6299057 |
Publisher URL | https://royalsocietypublishing.org/doi/full/10.1098/rsos.210310 |
Files
SARS-CoV-2 infection in UK university students
(3.5 Mb)
PDF
Publisher Licence URL
https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/
You might also like
The influence of changing host immunity on 1918–19 pandemic dynamics
(2014)
Journal Article
Seasonality as a driver of pH1N12009 influenza vaccination campaign impact
(2023)
Journal Article
Downloadable Citations
About Repository@Nottingham
Administrator e-mail: discovery-access-systems@nottingham.ac.uk
This application uses the following open-source libraries:
SheetJS Community Edition
Apache License Version 2.0 (http://www.apache.org/licenses/)
PDF.js
Apache License Version 2.0 (http://www.apache.org/licenses/)
Font Awesome
SIL OFL 1.1 (http://scripts.sil.org/OFL)
MIT License (http://opensource.org/licenses/mit-license.html)
CC BY 3.0 ( http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/3.0/)
Powered by Worktribe © 2024
Advanced Search