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A Bayesian Belief Network method for bridge deterioration detection

Vagnoli, Matteo; Remenyte-Prescott, Rasa; Andrews, John

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Authors

Matteo Vagnoli

JOHN ANDREWS john.andrews@nottingham.ac.uk
Professor of Infrastructure Asset Management



Abstract

Bridges are one of the most important assets of transportation networks. A closure of a bridge can increase the vulnerability of the geographic area served by such networks, as it reduces the number of available routes. Condition monitoring and deterioration detection methods can be used to monitor the health state of a bridge and enable detection of early signs of deterioration. In this paper, a novel Bayesian Belief Network (BBN) methodology for bridge deterioration detection is proposed. A method to build a BBN structure and to define the Conditional Probability Tables (CPTs) is presented first. Then evidence of the bridge behaviour (such as bridge displacement or acceleration due to traffic) is used as an input to the BBN model, the probability of the health state of whole bridge and its elements is updated and the levels of deterioration are detected. The methodology is illustrated using a Finite Element Model (FEM) of a steel truss bridge, and for an in-field post-tensioned concrete bridge.

Citation

Vagnoli, M., Remenyte-Prescott, R., & Andrews, J. (2021). A Bayesian Belief Network method for bridge deterioration detection. Proceedings of the Institution of Mechanical Engineers, Part O: Journal of Risk and Reliability, 235(3), 338-355. https://doi.org/10.1177/1748006X20979225

Journal Article Type Article
Acceptance Date Nov 16, 2020
Online Publication Date Dec 15, 2020
Publication Date 2021-06
Deposit Date Dec 16, 2020
Publicly Available Date Dec 16, 2020
Journal Proceedings of the Institution of Mechanical Engineers, Part O: Journal of Risk and Reliability
Print ISSN 1748-006X
Electronic ISSN 1748-0078
Publisher SAGE Publications
Peer Reviewed Peer Reviewed
Volume 235
Issue 3
Pages 338-355
DOI https://doi.org/10.1177/1748006X20979225
Keywords Bayesian Belief Network; bridge deterioration; detection and diagnostics; structural health monitoring 2
Public URL https://nottingham-repository.worktribe.com/output/5153616
Publisher URL https://journals.sagepub.com/doi/full/10.1177/1748006X20979225

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