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Explaining support for Brexit among parliamentary candidates: the case of Wales

Trumm, Siim


Associate Professor


The 2016 EU referendum was a key moment in the history of the United Kingdom. It has changed the course of the country and continues to shape political competition in the UK. Despite research on which voters cast their ballot for Leave having become a minor industry in recent years, we still know little about what factors motivated our politicians to do so. Using original data from the 2016 Welsh Candidate Study, this article explains support for Brexit among parliamentary candidates in Wales. It finds that both candidates’ socio-economic profile and political attitudes influenced their decision to vote Leave in 2016. The strongest determinants of Leave vote were candidates’ views on how the EU works; how democratic it is and how much influence it can exert. Candidates’ occupational background and policy concerns were also relevant, but their effects were slightly weaker. These findings not only highlight that there are important similarities between what influenced politicians and voters to cast their ballot for Leave, but also some salient differences.


Trumm, S. (2021). Explaining support for Brexit among parliamentary candidates: the case of Wales. British Politics, 16, 58-73.

Journal Article Type Article
Acceptance Date Feb 17, 2020
Online Publication Date Mar 5, 2020
Publication Date 2021-03
Deposit Date Mar 6, 2020
Publicly Available Date Mar 6, 2021
Journal British Politics
Print ISSN 1746-918X
Electronic ISSN 1746-9198
Publisher Palgrave Macmillan
Peer Reviewed Peer Reviewed
Volume 16
Pages 58-73
Keywords Political Science and International Relations; Sociology and Political Science; History
Public URL
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