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Spatial microsimulation of osteoarthritis prevalence at the small area level in England – Constraint selection for a 2-stage microsimulation process

Ifesemen, Onosi Sylvia; Bestwick-Stevenson, Thomas; Edwards, Kimberley L.

Spatial microsimulation of osteoarthritis prevalence at the small area level in England – Constraint selection for a 2-stage microsimulation process Thumbnail


Authors

Onosi Sylvia Ifesemen

KIMBERLEY EDWARDS KIMBERLEY.EDWARDS@NOTTINGHAM.AC.UK
Professor of Sport, exercise and Nutrition Education



Abstract

The presence of identical benchmark/constraint variables in both geographic and survey datasets is a principal requirement for static spatial microsimulation models, particularly in the field of medicine and health sciences. This is also a as key limitation of static spatial models because geographical datasets rarely contain all variables required to realistically simulate an outcome. We believe this challenge can be overcome by a multilevel approach to spatial microsimulation using a case study of estimating the small area level prevalence of knee osteoarthritis in England. In the paper, we describe constraint selection and demonstrate a novel two-stage spatial microsimulation procedure using SimObesity, a static deterministic combinatorial spatial microsimulation model. We also present the validation parameters of our synthetic data, important areas for consideration and avenues for future research. Our findings demonstrate that important benchmark variables absent from the geographical dataset can be incorporated into spatial microsimulation models without compromising model robustness.

Citation

Ifesemen, O. S., Bestwick-Stevenson, T., & Edwards, K. L. (in press). Spatial microsimulation of osteoarthritis prevalence at the small area level in England – Constraint selection for a 2-stage microsimulation process. International Journal of Microsimulation, 12(2), 36-50. https://doi.org/10.34196/+ijm.00200

Journal Article Type Article
Acceptance Date Jun 14, 2019
Online Publication Date Feb 1, 2020
Deposit Date Jun 24, 2019
Publicly Available Date Mar 29, 2024
Journal International Journal of Microsimulation
Electronic ISSN 1747-5864
Publisher International Microsimulation Association
Peer Reviewed Peer Reviewed
Volume 12
Issue 2
Pages 36-50
DOI https://doi.org/10.34196/+ijm.00200
Public URL https://nottingham-repository.worktribe.com/output/2222753
Publisher URL https://microsimulation.org/IJM/V12_2/ijm.00200.pdf

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