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Africa's urban adaptation transition under a 1.5° climate

Pelling, Mark; Leck, Hayley; Pasquini, Lorena; Ajibade, Idowu; Osuteye, Emanuel; Parnell, Susan; Lwasa, Shuaib; Johnson, Cassidy; Fraser, Arabella; Barcena, Alejandro; Boubacar, Soumana

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Mark Pelling

Hayley Leck

Lorena Pasquini

Idowu Ajibade

Emanuel Osuteye

Susan Parnell

Shuaib Lwasa

Cassidy Johnson

Arabella Fraser

Alejandro Barcena

Soumana Boubacar


For cities in sub-Saharan Africa a 1.5 °C increase in global temperature will bring forward the urgency of meeting basic needs in sanitation, drinking water and land-tenure, and underlying governance weaknesses. The challenges of climate sensitive management are exacerbated by rapid population growth, deep and persistent poverty, a trend for resolving risk through relocation (often forced), and emerging new risks, often multi-hazard, for example heat stroke made worse by air pollution. Orienting risk management towards a developmental agenda can help. Transition is constrained by fragmented governance, donor priorities and inadequate monitoring of hazards, vulnerability and impacts. Opportunities arise where data and forecasting is present and through multi-level governance where civil society collaborates with city government.

Journal Article Type Article
Acceptance Date Nov 1, 2017
Online Publication Date Dec 9, 2017
Publication Date 2018-04
Deposit Date Nov 14, 2018
Publicly Available Date Nov 14, 2018
Journal Current Opinion in Environmental Sustainability
Print ISSN 1877-3435
Publisher Elsevier
Peer Reviewed Peer Reviewed
Volume 31
Pages 10-15
Keywords General Social Sciences; General Environmental Science
Public URL
Publisher URL
Additional Information This article is maintained by: Elsevier; Article Title: Africa's urban adaptation transition under a 1.5° climate; Journal Title: Current Opinion in Environmental Sustainability; CrossRef DOI link to publisher maintained version:; Content Type: article; Copyright: © 2017 The Authors. Published by Elsevier B.V.


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